The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
ACV 33.1%
Draw 24.8%
BVV Barendrecht 42.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.3%
24.5%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.8%
23.4%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ACV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
BVV Barendrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ACV than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for BVV Barendrecht than the current prediction. (+1%)
ACV - BVV Barendrecht Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Wolfs M. (G) 2. de Klerk S. 3. Wielink N. (C) 28. Bannani K. 5. Mansaray E. 25. Broers L. 14. Gootjes M. 7. Jasper G. 10. Spijkerman B. 24. Van der Kaap K. 21. Slor K.
1. Meer Bradley (G) 2. Brand J. 3. de Graaf T. 12. Schop C. 15. Rook K. 8. Jongman J. (C) 6. Bayram T. 24. Ouali R. 21. Mrowicki O. 17. Vugts B. 11. Serghini A.
Substitutes
23. Abida C. 22. Caciano L. 15. Jansen S. 11. Mulder J. 12. Nakanishi K. 1. Runhart B. (G) 19. Smid D.
18. de Bruin B. 10. Fortes E. 5. Jouhri N. 30. Kooiman M. (G) 9. van der Heiden D. 19. van Mierlo R. 4. Vermeer W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 4)
6', 0 - 1, Wielink N. (Own goal),
9', 0 - 2, Serghini A. ⚽, Rook K. (A),
35', 0 - 3, Serghini A. ⚽,
41', Serghini A. ↓, van der Heiden D. ↑,
45+4', 0 - 4, Jongman J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ouali R. ↓, de Bruin B. ↑,
46', de Klerk S. ↓, Nakanishi K. ↑,
53', Vugts B. ↓, van Mierlo R. ↑,
67', Van der Kaap K. ↓, Caciano L. ↑,
73', 1 - 4, Slor K. ⚽, Caciano L. (A),
77', Bannani K. 🟨,
83', Mrowicki O. ↓, Fortes E. ↑,
83', Schop C. ↓, Vermeer W. ↑,
85', 1 - 5, van der Heiden D. ⚽,
90', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Tweede Divisie (Relegation)).
ACV has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Barendrecht's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
ACV may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
We predict that Barendrecht will win today's game, with odds of 2.19.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, ACV won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, ACV won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).