Match Info

Date: 16 February 2020, Sunday


	AD Oliveirense		Maria da Fonte

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.15	2
	3.04	3.23	2.08
	3.23	3.43	2.18
	3.2	3.24	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (3.28)	3.26 ↑ (3.2)	2.11 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AD Oliveirense
28.8%

Draw
27.9%

Maria da Fonte
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

28.1%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

21.2%

58.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AD Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Maria da Fonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AD Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AD Oliveirense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria da Fonte than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria da Fonte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Oliveirense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.02.20	Marítimo B - AD Oliveirense	1:0 ✺
02.02.20	AD Oliveirense - Mirandela	1:1 ✺
26.01.20	São Martinho - AD Oliveirense	3:1 ✺
19.01.20	AD Oliveirense - Montalegre	1:1 ✺
12.01.20	AD Oliveirense - Merelinense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLTT
- Maria da Fonte
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.02.20	Maria da Fonte - Berço	3:1 ✺
26.01.20	Maria da Fonte - Chaves B	1:2 ✺
19.01.20	Fafe - Maria da Fonte	1:0 ✺
12.01.20	Vizela - Maria da Fonte	3:3 ✺
05.01.20	Maria da Fonte - Braga B	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
31.03.19	Maria da Fonte - AD Oliveirense	0:0
11.11.18	AD Oliveirense - Maria da Fonte	1:3

AD Oliveirense - Maria da Fonte: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide