Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday


	Maria da Fonte		Braga B

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.30	1.71
	3.90	3.25	1.74
	4.33	3.56	1.63
	4.44	3.62	1.69	Watch
	4.20	3.45	1.59
	4.74	3.52	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↑ (2.45)	3.45 ↑ (3.3)	1.67 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maria da Fonte
20.6%

Draw
25.9%

Braga B
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

27.7%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maria da Fonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maria da Fonte's form might have worsened.

Braga B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Braga B's recent form is better than expected.

Maria da Fonte - Braga B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, ⚽,
37', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Braga B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Braga B is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Maria da Fonte won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 1:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Maria da Fonte won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Braga B	4	2	2	0	8:3	5	8
12	Maria de Fonte	4	1	0	3	2:7	-5	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maria da Fonte
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
06.09.26	Brito - Maria da Fonte	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Vinhais - Maria da Fonte	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Fafe - Maria da Fonte	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Maria da Fonte - Arouca	0:5 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.04.23	Pevidem - Maria da Fonte	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL
- Braga B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
05.09.26	Braga B - Montalegre	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	Braga B - Maia Lidador	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
03.05.26	Braga B - Fafe	0:0 ✺
26.04.26	Marco 09 - Braga B	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Braga B - Sanjoanense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
20.03.21	Maria da Fonte - Braga B	0:2
18.10.20	Braga B - Maria da Fonte	5:1
05.01.20	Maria da Fonte - Braga B	2:3

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