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Current Win Probability
ADA Jaén 40.8%
Draw 29.6%
Universidad César Vallejo 29.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.5%
28.7%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
28.2%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADA Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Universidad César Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADA Jaén than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ADA Jaén - Universidad César Vallejo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Rabines M. (G) 22. Acevedo G. 36. Beltran A. 7. Duque L. 37. Maciel E. 30. Marina J. 11. Perea M. 27. Rabanal E. 9. Rodriguez F. 33. Tecilla N. 5. Vidal A.
1. Nolasco J. (G) 13. Beltran C. 18. Catashunga J. 5. Da Rosa F. 15. Grandez G. 2. Madrid J. 3. Mesias Silva P. C. 27. Quispe J. 10. Ramirez A. 40. Regalado I. 6. Ysique F.
Substitutes
13. Cano L. 21. Cassiano F. 1. Caytuiro F. (G) 24. Raffo R. 15. Ratto P. 14. Rivera J. 8. Rodriguez N. 19. Ruiz H. 6. Sanchez A.
19. Canahualpa M. 69. Garcia 20. Osorio S. 23. Ramos J. 14. Requena P. 4. Romero A. 21. Silva F. (G) 30. Urtecho E. 11. Vasquez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Duque L. 🟨,
7', 0 - 1, Grandez G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Beltran A. ↓, Cano L. ↑,
46', Duque L. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
52', Ramirez A. ↓, Osorio S. ↑,
53', Catashunga J. ↓, Romero A. ↑,
59', 🟨,
59', Ysique F. 🟨,
62', Perea M. ↓, Ruiz H. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Ruiz H. ⚽,
64', Ruiz H. 🟨,
65', 🟨,
68', Madrid J. 🟨,
68', Vidal A. 🟨,
74', Regalado I. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
77', Vidal A. ↓, Cassiano F. ↑,
82', Rabanal E. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
82', 🟨,
82', Beltran C. ↓, Requena P. ↑,
90+3', Da Rosa F. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion Group: )).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
ADA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
ADA could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, ADA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Including home match between the teams, ADA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.