Match Info

Tweede Divisie - Round 28

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Sportpark De Vlotter (Heemskerk)


	ADO 20 Heemskerk		Noordwijk

	1	X	2
	4.8	4.33	1.49
	4.8	4.4	1.51
	5	4.53	1.55	Watch
	5.16	4.2	1.5
	4.8	4.4	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↑ (3.86)	4.37 ↑ (4)	1.51 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ADO 20 Heemskerk
18.6%

Draw
20.9%

Noordwijk
60.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

22.8%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

22.3%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADO 20 Heemskerk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ADO 20 Heemskerk's form might have worsened.

Noordwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Noordwijk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO 20 Heemskerk than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noordwijk than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Noordwijk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

ADO 20 Heemskerk - Noordwijk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Noordwijk (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - ADO 20 (2.12) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. ADO 20 (votes: 1 - 25%). Noordwijk (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Deen V. (G) 11. Holtkamp S. 19. Kroon S. 3. Wilffert O. 4. Hirasingh Y. 8. Glim F. 27. Volkers L. 28. Rienstra D. 10. Helder J. 15. Beelen I. 30. George D.	44. Roggeveen J. (G) 20. Neto 17. Groot K. 40. Rietveld D. 5. Strooker J. 8. Franken B. 26. Bosma S. 16. El Kharbachi M. 10. Reemnet R. 25. Roep A. 31. Wendt E.
Substitutes
7. Blel Y. 9. de Vre J. 29. Groothusen T. 16. Kaaijmolen N. 17. Prijor D. 5. Siegerist D. 1. Zwaan J.	14. Bakour M. 15. da Fonseca G. 9. Hak J. 18. Marbus R. 3. Reinders D. 1. Schol B. (G) 4. Vink M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Wendt E. ⚽, Neto (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 0 - 2, Bosma S. ⚽,
59', Rietveld D. ↓, da Fonseca G. ↑,
61', Glim F. ↓, de Vre J. ↑,
61', Hirasingh Y. ↓, Siegerist D. ↑,
75', Holtkamp S. ↓, Blel Y. ↑,
78', Franken B. ↓, Hak J. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 3, Neto ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Derde Divisie and 15).

ADO 20 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Noordwijk is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Noordwijk is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches ADO 20 won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams ADO 20 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADO 20 Heemskerk
Dutch Tweede Divisie
22.03.25	Quick Boys - ADO 20 Heemskerk	3:0 ✺
15.03.25	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Scheveningen	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Rijnsburgse Boys - ADO 20 Heemskerk	4:2 ✺
23.02.25	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Jong Sparta Rotterdam	1:4 ✺
15.02.25	Spakenburg - ADO 20 Heemskerk	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL
- Noordwijk
Dutch Tweede Divisie
22.03.25	Noordwijk - Katwijk	3:3 ✺
15.03.25	ACV - Noordwijk	1:6 ✺
08.03.25	Noordwijk - Excelsior Maassluis	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	HHC Hardenberg - Noordwijk	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Noordwijk - RKAV Volendam	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
26.10.24	Noordwijk - ADO 20 Heemskerk	1:1
04.05.24	Noordwijk - ADO 20 Heemskerk	2:2
25.11.23	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Noordwijk	1:1

ADO 20 Heemskerk - Noordwijk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide