Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Tweede Divisie - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Sportpark Duinwetering (Noordwijk)


	Noordwijk		Excelsior Maassluis

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.55	4.4
	1.7	3.55	4.55
	1.74	3.62	4.67
	1.68	3.5	4.58
	1.7	3.55	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.64)	3.55 ↓ (3.85)	4.52 ↑ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noordwijk
53.9%

Draw
25.8%

Excelsior Maassluis
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

23.7%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

22.6%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noordwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Excelsior Maassluis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noordwijk than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Noordwijk - Excelsior Maassluis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
46. Antonioli R. (G) 20. Neto 37. Groot K. 15. da Fonseca G. 5. Strooker J. 26. Bosma S. 8. Franken B. 25. Roep A. 10. Reemnet R. 11. Tjin-Asjoe V. 31. Wendt E.	1. Van der Kleij T. (G) 2. Tureaij C. 3. Ringeling K. 26. Bronder S. 4. Heuvelman D. 5. Overman G. 17. Reemst B. 18. van Eerden J. 27. Plank D. 22. Semedo E. 30. van Mil M.
Substitutes
16. El Kharbachi M. 9. Hak J. 18. Marbus R. 3. Reinders D. 40. Rietveld D. 44. Roggeveen J. 4. Vink M.	16. El Fakiri K. (G) 11. Langedijk P. 28. Linger T. 15. Nagtegaal N. 6. van den Beemt N. 14. van der Sande O. 19. van der Velden S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', da Fonseca G. 🟨,
38', Plank D. ↓, Linger T. ↑,
41', 0 - 1, van Mil M. ⚽, Overman G. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', 1 - 1, Wendt E. ⚽,
63', Reemnet R. 🟨,
64', van Mil M. ↓, van der Sande O. ↑,
64', Semedo E. ↓, van der Velden S. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Roep A. ⚽, Franken B. (A),
82', van Eerden J. ↓, Nagtegaal N. ↑,
82', Bronder S. ↓, Langedijk P. ↑,
86', da Fonseca G. 🟨,
87', Tjin-Asjoe V. ↓, Rietveld D. ↑,
89', Roep A. ↓, Hak J. ↑,
89', Reemnet R. ↓, Vink M. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 2, Langedijk P. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Tweede Divisie (Relegation) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Noordwijk won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Noordwijk is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Noordwijk won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:12 (average 0.9:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Noordwijk won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:7 (average 1:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Noordwijk
Dutch Tweede Divisie
22.02.25	HHC Hardenberg - Noordwijk	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Noordwijk - RKAV Volendam	4:2 ✺
08.02.25	GVVV - Noordwijk	1:3 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
05.02.25	Go Ahead Eagles - Noordwijk	3:1 ✺
Dutch Tweede Divisie
01.02.25	Noordwijk - Jong Almere City	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWWLL
- Excelsior Maassluis
Dutch Tweede Divisie
22.02.25	Excelsior Maassluis - Quick Boys	0:2 ✺
15.02.25	Scheveningen - Excelsior Maassluis	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Excelsior Maassluis - Rijnsburgse Boys	1:0 ✺
04.02.25	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Excelsior Maassluis	0:4 ✺
01.02.25	Jong Sparta Rotterdam - Excelsior Maassluis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
05.10.24	Excelsior Maassluis - Noordwijk	1:1
03.02.24	Excelsior Maassluis - Noordwijk	1:0
09.09.23	Noordwijk - Excelsior Maassluis	1:1
25.03.23	Excelsior Maassluis - Noordwijk	2:1
01.10.22	Noordwijk - Excelsior Maassluis	1:1
07.05.22	Noordwijk - Excelsior Maassluis	1:2
05.03.22	Excelsior Maassluis - Noordwijk	1:1

Noordwijk - Excelsior Maassluis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide