Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Tweede Divisie - Round 6

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Sportpark De Vlotter (Heemskerk)


	ADO 20 Heemskerk		Spakenburg

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.5	1.43
	5.6	4.8	1.4
	4.93	5	1.43
				Watch
	5.81	4.65	1.41
	5.6	4.8	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.44 ↑ (4.1)	4.75 ↑ (3.75)	1.41 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ADO 20 Heemskerk
16.7%

Draw
19.1%

Spakenburg
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

23.9%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

23%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADO 20 Heemskerk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ADO 20 Heemskerk's form might have worsened.

Spakenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spakenburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO 20 Heemskerk than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spakenburg than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spakenburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

ADO 20 Heemskerk - Spakenburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Deen V. (G) 2. Schilling M. 17. Prijor D. 19. Kroon S. 27. Volkers L. 6. Carbaat T. 8. Glim F. 30. George D. 14. Lute D. 10. Helder J. 11. Holtkamp S.	1. Heus M. (G) 2. Verhagen N. 3. Drakpe A. 15. van Lopik H. 10. Vink W. 21. Veenhoven M. 8. van Huffel S. 14. Wesdorp K. 22. van Mil K. 11. Suleiman M. 18. Kourouma F.
Substitutes
25. de Haan L. (G) 9. de Vre J. 4. Hirasingh Y. 16. Kaaijmolen N. 12. Richard J. 18. van Esveld J. 23. Venrooy L.	20. Beelen I. 17. Klomp F. 6. Noordhoff T. 9. van der Linden F. 23. van Dorp K. (G) 4. Werkman K.

Preview

ADO 20 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Spakenburg is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Spakenburg is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches ADO 20 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams ADO 20 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADO 20 Heemskerk
Dutch Tweede Divisie
14.09.24	BVV Barendrecht - ADO 20 Heemskerk	5:1 ✺
08.09.24	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Koninklijke HFC	0:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
04.09.24	ADO 20 Heemskerk - DAW Schaijk	2:0 ✺
Dutch Tweede Divisie
31.08.24	Amsterdamsche FC - ADO 20 Heemskerk	3:0 ✺
17.08.24	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Katwijk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL
- SV Spakenburg
Dutch Tweede Divisie
14.09.24	Spakenburg - Katwijk	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	ACV - Spakenburg	1:2 ✺
24.08.24	HHC Hardenberg - Spakenburg	3:1 ✺
17.08.24	Spakenburg - RKAV Volendam	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Spakenburg - Jong Almere City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
18.05.24	Spakenburg - ADO 20 Heemskerk	3:0
09.12.23	ADO 20 Heemskerk - Spakenburg	1:2

ADO 20 Heemskerk - Spakenburg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide