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Current Win Probability
Spakenburg 58.1%
Draw 20.2%
Jong Almere City 21.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.5%
20.5%
23.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.6%
19.4%
22.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spakenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Jong Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spakenburg than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Almere City than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Spakenburg - Jong Almere City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Houweling J. (G) 16. Kok O. 81. Linthorst T. 44. Guiting J. 5. Green D. 10. Kunst D. 15. van Lopik H. 8. van Huffel S. 11. Junte R. 9. van der Linden F. (C) 7. El Azzouti A.
31. Mateyo M. (G) 34. Teunissen S. 27. Pinas J. 44. Abdulmahmoud S. 42. de Beer J. 38. Lenssen L. 36. Lever S. (C) 58. Apinsa D. 50. Saygi M. A. 40. Dors M. 57. Hagedoorn S.
Substitutes
60. Cin F. 4. Claver C. 21. Prins M. 27. Puriel J. 17. van Dieren K. 23. van Dorp K. (G) 22. van Mil K.
49. Bais A. 39. Nsingi J. 41. Reit N. (G) 46. Smit M. 33. van Gom J. 55. Woudstra X. 53. Zijsling J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Kok O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Dors M. ↓, Bais A. ↑,
60', Lenssen L. ↓, Smit M. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, El Azzouti A. ⚽,
68', Junte R. ↓, van Mil K. ↑,
71', de Beer J. ↓, Nsingi J. ↑,
71', Abdulmahmoud S. ↓, van Gom J. ↑,
75', Linthorst T. ↓, Claver C. ↑,
75', van der Linden F. ↓, Puriel J. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spakenburg won 1.
Recent performances by Spakenburg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Jong Almere City has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Spakenburg is considered a favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Spakenburg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.8:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Spakenburg won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Spakenburg
8
4
1
3
11:12
-1
13
15
Jong Almere City
8
2
1
5
15:17
-2
7
Last Results with these Odds
Spakenburg - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 55.54%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.