Match Info

Super League - Round 11

Date: 24 November 2025, Monday

Location: AEL FC Arena (Larissa)

Referee: Gioumatzidis M. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	SportPlus
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Usa	SportPlus


	AEL Larissa		OFI

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.3
	2.25	3.22	3.52
	2.22	3.28	3.17	Watch
	2.14	3.28	3.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.22)	3.24 ↓ (3.28)	3.35 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEL Larissa
42.8%

Draw
29.1%

OFI
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

28.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

27.5%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEL Larissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

OFI has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OFI than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	21.1%	15.8%

AEL Larissa - OFI Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Larissa will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). OFI will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Larissa: 41.5% – 84.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. OFI (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - Larissa (9.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Larissa (votes: 1 - 20%). OFI (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melissas N. (G) 44. Chakla S. 6. Pantelakis E. (C) 14. Ferigra E. 2. Apostolakis K. 31. Atanasov J. 8. Perez F. 12. Kossonou A. 23. Garate L. 29. Tupta L. 18. Chatzistravos Z.	1. Lilo K. (G) 2. Krizmanic K. 24. Lampropoulos V. (C) 6. Karachalios Z. 12. Chatzitheodoridis I. 11. Fountas T. 14. Androutsos A. 17. Gonzalez B. 46. Theodosoulakis I. 9. Salcedo E. 27. Shengelia L.
Substitutes
94. Anagnostopoulos A. (G) 10. Andrada L. 5. Bagalianis P. 99. Faisal K. 77. Giousis C. 4. Iliadis T. 63. Kovacevic B. 11. Mourgos S. 22. Papageorgiou A. 19. Pasas G. 90. Sourlis V. 26. Staikos P.	21. Apostolakis I. 25. Bainovic F. 31. Christogeorgos N. (G) 22. Christopoulos G. 70. Faitakis E. 13. Katsikas P. (G) 90. Kenourgiakis P. 5. Kostoulas K. 34. Lewis K. 4. Marinakis N. 10. Neira J. 77. Rakonjac M.
Coaches
Malezas S.	Kontis C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Theodosoulakis I. ⚽, Salcedo E. (A),
12', 1 - 1, Garate L. ⚽, Kossonou A. (A),
15', 1 - 2, Karachalios Z. ⚽,
32', Garate L. 🟨,
37', Chakla S. 🟨,
41', Chatzitheodoridis I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Chatzistravos Z. ↓, Mourgos S. ↑,
62', Atanasov J. ↓, Andrada L. ↑,
69', Shengelia L. ↓, Apostolakis I. ↑,
74', Tupta L. ↓, Pasas G. ↑,
74', Kossonou A. ↓, Giousis C. ↑,
75', Fountas T. ↓, Neira J. ↑,
76', Mourgos S. 🟨,
78', Apostolakis I. 🟨,
84', Apostolakis K. ↓, Faisal K. ↑,
89', Neira J. ↓, Rakonjac M. ↑,
89', Theodosoulakis I. ↓, Christopoulos G. ↑,
90+5', Lilo K. 🟨,
90+7', Pantelakis E. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 2.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Larissa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Larissa: Deligiannidis P. (Injury) Perez F. (Yellow Cards) Sagal A. (Injury)

There will not play in OFI: Chnaris E. (Inactive) Gonzalez B. (Injury) Lewis K. (Inactive) Nuss T. (Red Card) Salcedo E. (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Larissa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Larissa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEL Larissa
Greek Super League
08.11.25	Panetolikos - AEL Larissa	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	AEL Larissa - Levadiakos	0:2 ✺
Greek Cup
29.10.25	PAOK - AEL Larissa	4:1 ✺
Greek Super League
25.10.25	Panserraikos - AEL Larissa	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	AEL Larissa - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLWL
- OFI Crete
Greek Super League
09.11.25	OFI - AEK Athens	0:1 ✺
03.11.25	Asteras Tripolis - OFI	3:0 ✺
Greek Cup
28.10.25	OFI - Iraklis	3:1 ✺
Greek Super League
25.10.25	OFI - Atromitos Athens	1:3 ✺
18.10.25	Panetolikos - OFI	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
24.04.21	AEL Larissa - OFI	0:1
06.03.21	OFI - AEL Larissa	2:3
12.12.20	AEL Larissa - OFI	0:1
01.02.20	OFI - AEL Larissa	0:0
03.11.19	AEL Larissa - OFI	3:2
03.03.19	OFI - AEL Larissa	0:0
27.10.18	AEL Larissa - OFI	0:0

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