Match Info

Super League - Round 3

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium (Athens)

Referee: Evangelou A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Slovenia	SportKlub 6


	OFI		PAOK

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.33	1.37	Watch
	5	4	1.6
	6.8	4.5	1.45
	5.05	4.04	1.63
	16.62	9.14	1.11	Watch
	7.2	4.33	1.47	Watch
	4.5	3.6	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.52 ↑ (4.55)	4.85 ↑ (3.6)	1.48 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

OFI
13.1%

Draw
20.4%

PAOK
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

26%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

25.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

OFI has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that OFI's form might have worsened.

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PAOK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OFI than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for OFI, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PAOK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

OFI - PAOK Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - OFI (2.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - OFI (5.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: PAOK will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): PAOK will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. OFI (votes: 3 - 33.3%). PAOK (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Christogeorgos N. (G) 17. Gonzalez B. 24. Lampropoulos V. (C) 2. Krizmanic K. 12. Chatzitheodoridis I. 27. Shengelia L. 6. Karachalios Z. 14. Androutsos A. 18. Nuss T. 46. Theodosoulakis I. 11. Fountas T.	1. Pavlenka J. (G) 3. Kenny J. 6. Lovren D. 5. Michailidis G. 21. Baba A. R. 8. Meite S. 27. Ozdoev M. 14. Zivkovic A. (C) 10. Pelkas D. 11. Taison 7. Giakoumakis G.
Substitutes
21. Apostolakis I. 25. Bainovic F. 22. Christopoulos G. 70. Faitakis E. 13. Katsikas P. (G) 5. Kostoulas K. 34. Lewis K. 1. Lilo K. (G) 4. Marinakis N. 10. Neira J. 77. Rakonjac M. 9. Salcedo E.	39. Berdos D. 22. Bianco A. 2. Camara M. 9. Chalov F. 52. Chatsidis D. 88. Gugeshashvili L. (G) 18. Ivanusec L. 16. Kedziora T. 23. Sastre J. 32. Taylor G. 99. Tsiftsis A. (G) 4. Vogliacco A.
Coaches
Rastavac M.	Lucescu R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Ozdoev M. ⚽, Baba A. R. (A),
24', 0 - 2, Pelkas D. ⚽, Ozdoev M. (A),
31', Karachalios Z. 🟨,
42', Baba A. R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Theodosoulakis I. ↓, Salcedo E. ↑,
66', Zivkovic A. (Pen),
67', Pelkas D. ↓, Chalov F. ↑,
67', Giakoumakis G. ↓, Ivanusec L. ↑,
69', Fountas T. ↓, Rakonjac M. ↑,
69', Karachalios Z. ↓, Neira J. ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Nuss T. ⚽, Gonzalez B. (A),
84', Salcedo E. 🟨,
89', Taison ↓, Camara M. ↑,
89', Shengelia L. ↓, Apostolakis I. ↑,
90+1', Nuss T. ↓, Faitakis E. ↑,

Preview

No spectators. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, OFI won 2.

OFI has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

PAOK is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

OFI may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, OFI has had a series of away games.

In this match, PAOK is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, OFI won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 13:52. (average 0.7:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, OFI won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:22. (average 0.9:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OFI Crete
Greek Super League
30.08.25	Panserraikos - OFI	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.25	Bologna - OFI	2:4 ✺
03.08.25	AZ Alkmaar - OFI	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	Sparta Rotterdam - OFI	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	ADO Den Haag - OFI	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.3 WWTLT
- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
31.08.25	PAOK - Atromitos Athens	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.08.25	PAOK - Rijeka	5:0 ✺
Greek Super League
24.08.25	PAOK - AEL Larissa	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
21.08.25	Rijeka - PAOK	1:0 ✺
14.08.25	Wolfsberger - PAOK	0:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
08.02.25	OFI - PAOK	0:5
27.10.24	PAOK - OFI	1:2
03.01.24	PAOK - OFI	4:0
03.09.23	OFI - PAOK	1:0
14.01.23	PAOK - OFI	0:0
18.09.22	OFI - PAOK	1:1
15.01.22	PAOK - OFI	3:0

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