Match Info

Cyprus League - Round 12

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Alphamega Stadium (Kolossi)

Referee: Fellas K. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go


	AEL Limassol		Apollon Limassol

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.12
	3.7	3.25	2.14
	4.00	3.43	1.89	Watch
	3.58	3.15	2.1	Watch
	3.4	3.25	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (4)	3.26 ↓ (3.43)	2.06 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEL Limassol
26.1%

Draw
28.6%

Apollon Limassol
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

27.2%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

26.6%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEL Limassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Apollon Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Limassol than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Apollon Limassol than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Apollon Limassol could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

AEL Limassol - Apollon Limassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. AEL will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Apollon Limassol will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ochoa G. (G) 26. Glavcic N. 24. Imanishimwe E. 97. Keller S. 23. Leo Natel 19. Milosavljevic I. 35. Sergio Conceicao 11. Singh L. 15. Stevanovic D. 37. Szoke J. 6. Zdravkovski D.	22. Kuhn P. (G) 9. Castel S. 17. Duodu C. 44. Kvida J. 77. Ljubic I. 10. Rodrigues G. 26. Shikkis A. 2. Vouros P. 27. Weissbeck G. 80. Youssef A. 8. Zmrhal J.
Substitutes
21. Bogdan L. 17. Christodoulou S. 9. Ferrier M. 45. Forestieri F. 2. Frantzis C. 99. Keravnos A. (G) 98. Kyriakou P. (G) 33. Makris A. 25. Panagiotou Filiotis A. 90. Panagi P. 8. Papafotis V. 42. Wheeler C.	5. Brown M. 21. Carreazo M. 76. Gaspar B. 3. Lam T. 41. Leeuwenburgh P. (G) 20. Spoljaric D. 31. Stylianou K. (G) 45. Vrikkis A.
Coaches
Martins H.	Avgousti S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Singh L. ⚽,
42', Milosavljevic I. 🟨,
45+2', Ljubic I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Shikkis A. ↓, Gaspar B. ↑,
46', Ljubic I. ↓, Spoljaric D. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Leo Natel ⚽,
56', Youssef A. ↓, Vrikkis A. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Kvida J. ⚽,
62', Ochoa G. 🟨,
66', Leo Natel ↓, Ferrier M. ↑,
67', 2 - 2, Castel S. ⚽,
70', Gaspar B. 🟨,
88', Weissbeck G. ↓, Carreazo M. ↑,
89', Milosavljevic I. ↓, Makris A. ↑,
89', Glavcic N. ↓, Forestieri F. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEL won 1.

In recent matches, AEL has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Apollon Limassol is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Apollon Limassol could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in AEL: Jradi B. Z. (Injury)

There will not play in Apollon Limassol: Duodu C. (Red Card) Marques P. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Apollon Limassol: Malekkidis G. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEL won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:26. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, AEL won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEL Limassol
Cypriot First Division
23.11.25	APOEL - AEL Limassol	1:2 ✺
07.11.25	AEL Limassol - Enosis Neon Paralimni	3:0 ✺
02.11.25	Paphos - AEL Limassol	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	AEL Limassol - Krasava Ypsonas	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Aris Limassol - AEL Limassol	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WWLWL
- Apollon Limassol
Cypriot First Division
23.11.25	Apollon Limassol - Omonia	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Ethnikos Achna - Apollon Limassol	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Apollon Limassol - AEK Larnaca	1:2 ✺
Cypriot Cup
29.10.25	MEAP Nisou - Apollon Limassol	1:5 ✺
Cypriot First Division
25.10.25	Olympiacos Nicosia - Apollon Limassol	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
02.01.25	AEL Limassol - Apollon Limassol	0:1
15.09.24	Apollon Limassol - AEL Limassol	Apollon awarded
20.04.24	Apollon Limassol - AEL Limassol	4:1
08.03.24	AEL Limassol - Apollon Limassol	2:1
Cypriot Cup
21.02.24	Apollon Limassol - AEL Limassol	3:1
Cypriot First Division
06.01.24	AEL Limassol - Apollon Limassol	1:3
24.09.23	Apollon Limassol - AEL Limassol	2:0

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