Match Info

Cyprus Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Alphamega Stadium (Kolossi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1


	Aris Limassol		AEL Limassol

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	5.75
	1.4	4.25	6.3
	1.38	4.64	6.46	Watch
	1.44	3.8	5.75
	1.46	4.46	6.18	Watch
	1.44	4.33	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.39)	4.28 ↑ (4.18)	6.13 ↓ (6.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aris Limassol
63.9%

Draw
21.3%

AEL Limassol
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

21.7%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

21.2%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aris Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

AEL Limassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris Limassol than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Limassol than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Aris Limassol - AEL Limassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Aris Limassol will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). AEL will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aris Limassol (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+6', 0 - 1, Sergio Conceicao (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aris Limassol won 5.

Aris Limassol is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

AEL has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Aris Limassol is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Aris Limassol will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Aris Limassol won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 23:3. (average 2.6:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Aris Limassol won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:3. (average 3:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aris Limassol FC
Cypriot First Division
17.01.26	Ethnikos Achna - Aris Limassol	0:3 ✺
10.01.26	Aris Limassol - AEK Larnaca	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Olympiacos Nicosia - Aris Limassol	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Aris Limassol - Omonia Aradippou	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Apollon Limassol - Aris Limassol	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWTTW
- AEL Limassol
Cypriot First Division
17.01.26	Akritas Chlorakas - AEL Limassol	0:2 ✺
09.01.26	AEL Limassol - Omonia	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Ethnikos Achna - AEL Limassol	0:1 ✺
22.12.25	AEL Limassol - AEK Larnaca	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Olympiacos Nicosia - AEL Limassol	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
19.10.25	Aris Limassol - AEL Limassol	4:0
23.02.25	Aris Limassol - AEL Limassol	4:0
24.11.24	AEL Limassol - Aris Limassol	0:3
18.02.24	Aris Limassol - AEL Limassol	4:0
04.12.23	AEL Limassol - Aris Limassol	0:4
11.12.22	AEL Limassol - Aris Limassol	0:0
28.08.22	Aris Limassol - AEL Limassol	2:1

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