Match Info

Cyprus League - Relegation Group - Round 32

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Alphamega Stadium (Kolossi)

Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go


	AEL Limassol		Olympiacos Nicosia

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.3	2.45
	2.53	3.77	2.63
	2.58	4	2.34	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.45
	2.52	3.56	2.49	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.1)	3.55 ↑ (3.35)	2.52 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEL Limassol
37%

Draw
26.2%

Olympiacos Nicosia
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

27.5%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

26.9%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEL Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AEL Limassol's form might have worsened.

Olympiacos Nicosia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olympiacos Nicosia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Limassol than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AEL Limassol, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos Nicosia than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olympiacos Nicosia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

AEL Limassol - Olympiacos Nicosia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. AEL will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Olympiacos Nicosia will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Forestieri F. 26. Glavcic N. 24. Imanishimwe E. 10. Jradi B. Z. 40. Maseko T. 19. Milosavljevic I. 63. Mughe F. R. 25. Panagiotou Filiotis A. 90. Panagi P. 27. Sawo Z. 35. Sergio Conceicao	1. Talichmanidis C. (G) 99. Bradonjic V. 6. Dzepar O. 55. Gomes H. 12. Jean Felipe 34. Joao Mario 37. Konomis L. 21. Kovalenko V. 94. Mauricio 9. Pikis I. 17. Vieirinha
Substitutes
14. Christofi S. . Karamanis A. 99. Keravnos A. (G) 95. Neofytidis C. (G) 22. Neofytou K. 8. Papafotis V. 29. Paroutis D. 15. Stevanovic D. . Zdravkovski D.	10. Bajrovic A. 40. Charalampous M. 88. Charalampous S. 18. Eftychidis F. 31. Injgia R. 16. Kalogirou L. 32. Kyriakou M. (G) 5. Loucoubar A. 8. Moreira R. 93. Omorowa R. 11. Tocka G. 42. Wheeler C.
Coaches
Martins H.	Christofi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Sawo Z. ⚽,
10', Maseko T. 🟨,
11', 1 - 1, Pikis I. ⚽,
35', 🟨,
35', Maseko T. 🟨,
42', 1 - 2, Kovalenko V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Kovalenko V. ↓, Moreira R. ↑,
59', Joao Mario ↓, Loucoubar A. ↑,
61', 1 - 3, Konomis L. ⚽,
62', Jradi B. Z. ↓, Makris A. ↑,
74', Glavcic N. ↓, Zdravkovski D. ↑,
74', Mughe F. R. ↓, Paroutis D. ↑,
74', Panagi P. ↓, Papafotis V. ↑,
75', Vieirinha ↓, Charalampous M. ↑,
81', Jean Felipe ↓, Tocka G. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEL won 2.

AEL is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Olympiacos Nicosia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Olympiacos Nicosia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Olympiacos Nicosia: Tavares J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in AEL: Bogdan L. (Inactive) Ochoa G. (Inactive) Singh L. (Inactive) Szoke J. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEL won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, AEL won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	AEL Limassol	4	3	0	1	6:7	-1	9
10	Ol. Nicosia	4	0	4	0	7:7	0	4

Last Results with these Odds

AEL Limassol - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 43.8%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEL Limassol
Cypriot First Division
02.05.26	Krasava Ypsonas - AEL Limassol	1:1 ✺
27.04.26	AEL Limassol - Anorthosis	0:1 ✺
Cypriot Cup
22.04.26	Paphos - AEL Limassol	3:1 ✺
Cypriot First Division
17.04.26	AEL Limassol - Enosis Neon Paralimni	2:1 ✺
Cypriot Cup
08.04.26	AEL Limassol - Paphos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLLWL
- Olympiacos Nicosia
Cypriot First Division
01.05.26	Olympiacos Nicosia - Omonia Aradippou	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Ethnikos Achna - Olympiacos Nicosia	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Olympiacos Nicosia - Akritas Chlorakas	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Enosis Neon Paralimni - Olympiacos Nicosia	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Krasava Ypsonas - Olympiacos Nicosia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
14.12.25	Olympiacos Nicosia - AEL Limassol	0:0
22.08.25	AEL Limassol - Olympiacos Nicosia	2:0
30.04.23	Olympiacos Nicosia - AEL Limassol	1:1
Cypriot Cup
26.04.23	AEL Limassol - Olympiacos Nicosia	1:0
05.04.23	Olympiacos Nicosia - AEL Limassol	0:0
Cypriot First Division
13.03.23	AEL Limassol - Olympiacos Nicosia	0:1
23.12.22	AEL Limassol - Olympiacos Nicosia	2:0

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