Match Info

Cyprus Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Alphamega Stadium (Kolossi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go


	AEL Limassol		Paphos

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.4	1.8
	3.75	3.3	1.85
	4.26	3.45	1.88
	4.21	3.49	1.85	Watch
	3.7	3.2	1.85
	3.87	3.56	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↓ (4.26)	3.4 ↓ (3.46)	1.85 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEL Limassol
23.5%

Draw
27%

Paphos
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

26.5%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

25.8%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEL Limassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Paphos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Limassol than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

AEL Limassol - Paphos Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. AEL will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Paphos will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ochoa G. (G) 21. Bogdan L. 26. Glavcic N. 24. Imanishimwe E. 40. Maseko T. 19. Milosavljevic I. 27. Sawo Z. 35. Sergio Conceicao 11. Singh L. 15. Stevanovic D. 6. Zdravkovski D. (C)	1. Gorter J. (G) 7. Bruno 77. Correia J. 4. David Luiz 30. Dragomir V. (C) 14. Ioannou N. 11. Jaja 18. Lele 23. Luckassen D. 88. Pepe 26. Sunjic I.
Substitutes
45. Forestieri F. 2. Frantzis C. 10. Jradi B. Z. 99. Keravnos A. (G) 98. Kyriakou P. (G) 33. Makris A. 63. Mughe F. R. 22. Neofytou K. 25. Panagiotou Filiotis A. 90. Panagi P. 8. Papafotis V. 29. Paroutis D.	33. Anderson Silva 9. Bassouamina M. 50. Brito A. 80. Dani Silva 19. Guessand A. 93. Michail N. (G) 21. Mimovic O. 20. Odefalk W. 17. Orsic M. 99. Papadoudis A. (G) 2. Pileas K. 12. Sema K.
Coaches
Martins H.	Celades A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Jaja (Penalty Awarded),
34', Maseko T. 🟨,
38', 0 - 2, Jaja ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 2, Sawo Z. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Correia J. ↓, Sema K. ↑,
65', Lele ↓, Anderson Silva ↑,
68', Imanishimwe E. ↓, Neofytou K. ↑,
68', Maseko T. ↓, Mughe F. R. ↑,
73', David Luiz ↓, Mimovic O. ↑,
73', Bogdan L. 🟨,
75', Ioannou N. 🟨,
81', Glavcic N. ↓, Jradi B. Z. ↑,
87', Jaja ↓, Dani Silva ↑,
88', Singh L. ↓, Paroutis D. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AEL won 0.

Recent form of AEL has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Paphos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Paphos is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, AEL won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 19:32. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, AEL won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEL Limassol
Cypriot First Division
04.04.26	Omonia Aradippou - AEL Limassol	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	AEL Limassol - Ethnikos Achna	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	AEL Limassol - Omonia Aradippou	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Apollon Limassol - AEL Limassol	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	AEL Limassol - APOEL	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTLLL
- Paphos FC
Cypriot First Division
04.04.26	Omonia - Paphos	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Paphos - Apollon Limassol	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Akritas Chlorakas - Paphos	0:4 ✺
07.03.26	Paphos - Krasava Ypsonas	7:0 ✺
01.03.26	Aris Limassol - Paphos	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
15.02.26	AEL Limassol - Paphos	0:1
02.11.25	Paphos - AEL Limassol	1:0
06.01.25	Paphos - AEL Limassol	4:0
22.09.24	AEL Limassol - Paphos	1:3
23.12.23	AEL Limassol - Paphos	1:2
02.09.23	Paphos - AEL Limassol	3:1
08.02.23	Paphos - AEL Limassol	1:0

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