Match Info

Date: 5 August 2021, Thursday


	AEL Limassol		Qarabağ Agdam

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.45	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.38
	2.8	2.7	2.55
	3	2.76	2.77
	2.88	2.8	2.38
	2.9	2.9	2.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.63)	2.88 ↓ (3.02)	2.52 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AEL Limassol
31.5%

Draw
32%

Qarabağ Agdam
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

30.2%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

21.8%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AEL Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Limassol than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AEL Limassol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qarabağ Agdam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

AEL Limassol - Qarabağ Agdam Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

1st leg. Neutral location - AEK Arena.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEL Limassol
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.21	Vllaznia Shkodër - AEL Limassol	0:1 ✺
22.07.21	AEL Limassol - Vllaznia Shkodër	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.21	AEL Limassol - Olympiacos Nicosia	2:2 ✺
09.07.21	Amstetten - AEL Limassol	5:2 ✺
05.07.21	Voluntari - AEL Limassol	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWTLT
- FK Qarabağ Agdam
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.21	MS Ashdod - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
22.07.21	Qarabağ Agdam - MS Ashdod	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.21	Qarabağ Agdam - Augsburg	2:2 ✺
11.07.21	Arsenal Tula - Qarabağ Agdam	1:0 ✺
07.07.21	CSKA Sofia - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WTTLW

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