The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AF Elbasani 50.4%
Draw 26.5%
Dinamo City 23.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.8%
27.5%
39.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.5%
26.4%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AF Elbasani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AF Elbasani's performance.
Dinamo City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dinamo City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AF Elbasani than the current prediction. (-18.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AF Elbasani that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo City than the current prediction. (+18.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dinamo City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
12.5%
37.5%
AF Elbasani - Dinamo City Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. AF Elbasani will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Dinamo City will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for AF Elbasani: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo City (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Janacek M. (G) 25. Azemovic E. 9. Blaise Tsague 79. Diallo I. 17. Ibrahim A. 11. Kasa K. 14. Lajthia X. 77. Lila B. 10. Loukili K. 20. Manellari I. 29. Musta E.
77. Teqja A. (G) 27. Aliji N. 20. Ayodeji M. 23. Berisha B. 8. Goudiaby B. 9. Guindo S. 2. Ismaili U. 28. Meksi J. 18. Nani T. 99. Qardaku E. 10. Vila L.
Substitutes
32. Belloj G. 41. Borici A. 70. Boye I. 27. Bunjaku F. 23. Gomes J. 8. Ibraimi D. 18. Kasa A. 4. Lulaj B. 7. Nongoh S. 21. Totoshi K. (G)
45. Aniekan James B. 31. Beqja L. 6. Doci A. 24. Farruku F. 97. Kiri T. (G) 38. Koma M. 44. Manjani A. 7. Metaj D. 19. Mustapha I. 21. Qefalija K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
23', Goudiaby B. 🟥,
25', 1 - 0, Blaise Tsague ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Blaise Tsague ⚽,
31', Azemovic E. 🟨,
38', Guindo S. 🟨,
38', 3 - 0, Diallo I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Meksi J. ↓, Beqja L. ↑,
46', Berisha B. ↓, Qefalija K. ↑,
46', Guindo S. ↓, Koma M. ↑,
48', Ibrahim A. 🟨,
59', Aliji N. 🟨,
69', Ibrahim A. ↓, Borici A. ↑,
69', Qardaku E. ↓, Aniekan James B. ↑,
69', Blaise Tsague ↓, Bunjaku F. ↑,
78', Azemovic E. ↓, Kasa K. ↑,
79', Loukili K. ↓, Ibraimi D. ↑,
80', Vila L. ↓, Metaj D. ↑,
85', Manellari I. ↓, Belloj G. ↑,
Preview
Neutral location - Air Albania Stadium.
AF Elbasani is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Play Offs )
Dinamo Tirana is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AF Elbasani won 2.
Recent form of AF Elbasani has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Dinamo Tirana is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Dinamo Tirana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, AF Elbasani won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, AF Elbasani won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Dinamo City
5
4
0
1
10:5
5
12
5
AF Elbasani
5
1
3
1
7:7
0
6
Last Results with these Odds
Dinamo City - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.63%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.