Match Info

SWEDEN: SUPERETTAN - ROUND 12

Date: 11 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Tunavallen (Eskilstuna)

Referee: Oppong F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	AFC Eskilstuna		Helsingborg

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.3	3.2	2.85
	2.4	3	3.05
	2.49	3.11	3.11
	2.35	3	2.9
	2.39	3.1	3	Watch
	2.43	3.1	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.4)	3.09 ↓ (3.1)	2.92 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Eskilstuna
38.6%

Draw
29.9%

Helsingborg
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.1%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

28.1%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Eskilstuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Helsingborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Eskilstuna than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helsingborg than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	64.3%	7.1%

AFC Eskilstuna - Helsingborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. AFC Eskilstuna will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Helsingborg will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wolters N. (G) 2. Sundgren R. 25. Adolfsson M. 21. Suljic A. (C) 13. Yakubu A. 43. Hudu A. 10. Palomino M. 16. Shamoun I. 17. Ekeroth A. 14. Lindberg O. 23. Culum A.	1. Joelsson K. (C) 5. Holst F. 3. Widell C. 24. Hellman E. 22. Bengtsson S. 27. Acquah B. 8. Almadjed S. 25. Hellborg A. 11. Ring E. 33. Muhsin A. 15. Al-Hamawi A.
Substitutes
9. Adjei S. 20. Duah E. 22. Hansemon T. 19. Lif L. 11. Mitku M. 35. Nilsson W. (G) 6. Williams R.	30. Arvidsson N. (G) 16. Gigovic E. 41. Kjellnas L. 18. Nilsson A. 14. Stojanovic-Fredin O. 38. Svanback A. 35. Westerlund W.
Coaches
Al Jebouri J.	Baxter S.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches AFC Eskilstuna won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Helsingborg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches AFC Eskilstuna won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams AFC Eskilstuna won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Eskilstuna
Swedish Superettan
05.06.23	Skövde AIK - AFC Eskilstuna	1:0 ✺
01.06.23	Västerås SK - AFC Eskilstuna	0:0 ✺
26.05.23	AFC Eskilstuna - GAIS	0:0 ✺
21.05.23	AFC Eskilstuna - Östersund	1:1 ✺
12.05.23	Jönköpings Södra - AFC Eskilstuna	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LTTTW
- Helsingborg IF
Swedish Superettan
06.06.23	Helsingborg - Jönköpings Södra	2:2 ✺
01.06.23	Helsingborg - Skövde AIK	0:0 ✺
28.05.23	Örebro - Helsingborg	1:1 ✺
21.05.23	Helsingborg - Utsikten	0:1 ✺
15.05.23	Sundsvall - Helsingborg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
11.09.21	AFC Eskilstuna - Helsingborg	2:2
02.05.21	Helsingborg - AFC Eskilstuna	1:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
22.09.19	Helsingborg - AFC Eskilstuna	2:1
18.05.19	AFC Eskilstuna - Helsingborg	1:1
Swedish Superettan
15.09.18	AFC Eskilstuna - Helsingborg	0:0
24.04.18	Helsingborg - AFC Eskilstuna	0:2

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