Match Info

SWEDEN: SUPERETTAN - ROUND 9

Date: 26 May 2023, Friday

Location: Tunavallen (Eskilstuna)

Referee: Mattsson E. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	AFC Eskilstuna		GAIS

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.6	1.7	Watch
	4.4	3.7	1.68
	4.3	3.8	1.72
	4.6	3.81	1.76
	4.4	3.5	1.67
	4.5	3.84	1.69	Watch
	4.4	3.65	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↑ (3.66)	3.7 ↑ (3.43)	1.7 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Eskilstuna
20.7%

Draw
25%

GAIS
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

26.8%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

26.3%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Eskilstuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

GAIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting GAIS's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Eskilstuna than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GAIS than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for GAIS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	15%	75%

AFC Eskilstuna - GAIS Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. AFC Eskilstuna will win (votes: 2 - 10%). GAIS will win (votes: 15 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for GAIS: 56% – 94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wolters N. (G) 25. Adolfsson M. 21. Suljic A. 3. Fryers Z. 2. Sundgren R. 43. Hudu A. 10. Palomino M. 22. Hansemon T. 17. Ekeroth A. (C) 9. Adjei S. 23. Culum A.	1. Krasniqi M. (G) 6. Wangberg A. (C) 4. Noren A. 12. Frej R. 2. Binaku E. 25. Lindberg J. 7. Aberg J. 11. Lindberg J. 9. Lundgren G. 18. Holmstrom A. 10. Celik M.
Substitutes
14. Lindberg O. 7. Maarouf S. 11. Mitku M. 35. Nilsson W. (G) 16. Shamoun I. 6. Williams R. 13. Yakubu A.	8. Alexandersson V. 24. Beckman F. 20. Chika C. 14. Gustafsson F. 33. Krantz E. (G) 16. Salihovic D.
Coaches
Al Jebouri J.	Holmberg F.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches AFC Eskilstuna won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match GAIS is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches AFC Eskilstuna won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams AFC Eskilstuna won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Eskilstuna
Swedish Superettan
21.05.23	AFC Eskilstuna - Östersund	1:1 ✺
12.05.23	Jönköpings Södra - AFC Eskilstuna	2:3 ✺
05.05.23	AFC Eskilstuna - Utsikten	1:1 ✺
30.04.23	Örebro - AFC Eskilstuna	3:0 ✺
22.04.23	AFC Eskilstuna - Trelleborg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWTLW
- GAIS
Swedish Superettan
20.05.23	GAIS - Jönköpings Södra	0:1 ✺
13.05.23	Öster - GAIS	1:2 ✺
07.05.23	GAIS - Trelleborg	2:1 ✺
02.05.23	Helsingborg - GAIS	2:1 ✺
22.04.23	GAIS - Landskrona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
21.10.21	GAIS - AFC Eskilstuna	2:3
25.04.21	AFC Eskilstuna - GAIS	0:0
02.11.20	GAIS - AFC Eskilstuna	2:0
24.07.20	AFC Eskilstuna - GAIS	2:0
03.09.18	AFC Eskilstuna - GAIS	2:1
18.05.18	GAIS - AFC Eskilstuna	0:1

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