Match Info

Date: 28 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Tunavallen (Eskilstuna)

Referee: Nehdi F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	AFC Eskilstuna		IFK Östersunds

	1	X	2
	1.85	4	3.8	Watch
	1.83	3.7	3.6
	1.8	3.75	3.95
	1.82	3.7	3.75
	1.87	3.89	4.11
	1.8	3.5	3.7
	1.86	3.95	3.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.66)	3.78 ↓ (3.87)	3.82 ↓ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Eskilstuna
50.9%

Draw
24.7%

IFK Östersunds
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

24.1%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

23%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Eskilstuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AFC Eskilstuna's form might have worsened.

IFK Östersunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Eskilstuna than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AFC Eskilstuna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Östersunds than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for IFK Östersunds, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	6.7%	6.7%

AFC Eskilstuna - IFK Östersunds Predictions

Users Predictions: AFC Eskilstuna will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

AFC Eskilstuna is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Östersund has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Östersund could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match AFC Eskilstuna is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches AFC Eskilstuna won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-8.

Including matches at home between the teams AFC Eskilstuna won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Eskilstuna
Swedish Superettan
23.05.22	Örebro - AFC Eskilstuna	1:0 ✺
19.05.22	AFC Eskilstuna - Norrby	1:2 ✺
14.05.22	Halmstad - AFC Eskilstuna	2:1 ✺
07.05.22	AFC Eskilstuna - Västerås SK	5:2 ✺
30.04.22	AFC Eskilstuna - Skövde AIK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL
- IFK Östersunds
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
26.05.22	IFK Östersunds - Luleå	0:1 ✺
Swedish Superettan
24.05.22	IFK Östersunds - Örgryte	0:0 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
21.05.22	Skellefteå FF - IFK Östersunds	2:0 ✺
Swedish Superettan
19.05.22	Brommapojkarna - IFK Östersunds	4:1 ✺
15.05.22	IFK Östersunds - Brage	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
03.08.19	IFK Östersunds - AFC Eskilstuna	1:2
24.04.19	AFC Eskilstuna - IFK Östersunds	0:1
09.09.17	IFK Östersunds - AFC Eskilstuna	3:0
26.04.17	AFC Eskilstuna - IFK Östersunds	1:3

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