Match Info

SWEDEN: SUPERETTAN - ROUND 24

Date: 27 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: Tunavallen (Eskilstuna)

Referee: Krsmanovic J. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	AFC Eskilstuna		Västerås SK

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.6	1.8	Watch
	3.75	3.6	1.8
	4	3.75	1.85	Watch
	4.26	3.91	1.79
	4	3.3	1.78
	3.92	3.76	1.79	Watch
	3.85	3.65	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↑ (3.5)	3.65 ↑ (3.4)	1.8 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Eskilstuna
23.2%

Draw
25.4%

Västerås SK
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

27.6%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

27.2%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Eskilstuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Västerås SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Västerås SK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Eskilstuna than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Västerås SK than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Västerås SK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	5.9%	88.2%

AFC Eskilstuna - Västerås SK Predictions

Users Predictions: Västerås SK will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wolters N. (G) 2. Sundgren R. 21. Suljic A. 3. Fryers Z. 18. Sasman Y. 43. Hudu A. 22. Hansemon T. 20. Duah E. 6. Williams R. (C) 10. Palomino M. 70. Mendi	1. Fagerstrom A. (G) 11. Gefvert S. 2. Magnusson H. 18. Nsabiyumva F. 3. Douglas A. 22. Aslund P. 8. Ask D. 15. Edlund O. 6. Johansson S. 17. Diabate I. 10. Burke J.
Substitutes
5. Cabdi H. 23. Culum A. 9. Larsson A. 14. Lindberg O. 35. Nilsson W. (G) 16. Shamoun I. 17. Thorell L.	9. Ali J. 21. Coulibaly A. 31. Larsson M. 26. Mahammed M. 5. Strompf P. 13. Svensson D. (G) 23. Tronet F.
Coaches
Andersson T.	Karlsson K.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches AFC Eskilstuna won 2.

AFC Eskilstuna is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Västerås SK is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Västerås SK is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches AFC Eskilstuna won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-14.

Including matches at home between the teams AFC Eskilstuna won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Eskilstuna
Swedish Superettan
22.09.23	Helsingborg - AFC Eskilstuna	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	AFC Eskilstuna - Örgryte	1:3 ✺
03.09.23	Trelleborg - AFC Eskilstuna	2:0 ✺
28.08.23	AFC Eskilstuna - Gefle	2:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
22.08.23	Luleå - AFC Eskilstuna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL
- Västerås SK FK
Swedish Superettan
23.09.23	Västerås SK - Sundsvall	2:0 ✺
18.09.23	Öster - Västerås SK	2:2 ✺
02.09.23	Västerås SK - Brage	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Örebro - Västerås SK	1:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
22.08.23	Örebro Syrianska - Västerås SK	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
30.06.23	AFC Eskilstuna - Västerås SK	0:2
Swedish Superettan
01.06.23	Västerås SK - AFC Eskilstuna	0:0
Club Friendly
18.03.23	Västerås SK - AFC Eskilstuna	1:2
Swedish Superettan
05.11.22	Västerås SK - AFC Eskilstuna	2:0
07.05.22	AFC Eskilstuna - Västerås SK	5:2
16.10.21	AFC Eskilstuna - Västerås SK	0:1
12.04.21	Västerås SK - AFC Eskilstuna	0:0

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