Match Info

Date: 21 September 2020, Monday


	AFC Eskilstuna		Ljungskile

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.5	2.8	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.85
	2.38	3.3	2.85	Watch
	2.35	3.2	2.85
	2.46	3.46	2.97
	2.35	3.3	2.9
	2.42	3.45	2.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.36)	3.33 ↓ (3.38)	2.87 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Eskilstuna
39.4%

Draw
28.1%

Ljungskile
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

27.6%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

20.2%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Eskilstuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Ljungskile has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Eskilstuna than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AFC Eskilstuna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ljungskile than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ljungskile, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64%	16%	20%

AFC Eskilstuna - Ljungskile Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. AFC Eskilstuna will win (votes: 16 - 64%). Ljungskile will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AFC Eskilstuna: 45.2% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Recent matches AFC Eskilstuna is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ljungskile is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches AFC Eskilstuna won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Eskilstuna
Swedish Superettan
17.09.20	Västerås SK - AFC Eskilstuna	0:1 ✺
12.09.20	AFC Eskilstuna - Halmstad	0:3 ✺
05.09.20	Jönköpings Södra - AFC Eskilstuna	3:0 ✺
29.08.20	AFC Eskilstuna - Sundsvall	3:2 ✺
23.08.20	Trelleborg - AFC Eskilstuna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 WLLWT
- Ljungskile SK
Swedish Superettan
17.09.20	Ljungskile - Norrby	1:1 ✺
11.09.20	Örgryte - Ljungskile	4:0 ✺
05.09.20	Ljungskile - Akropolis	2:1 ✺
30.08.20	Akropolis - Ljungskile	1:0 ✺
23.08.20	Ljungskile - Öster	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
12.08.20	Ljungskile - AFC Eskilstuna	2:1

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