Match Info

Date: 11 September 2020, Friday


	Örgryte		Ljungskile

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2	3.3	3.25
	2.1	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.11	3.25	3.25
	2.18	3.42	3.46
	2.1	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.14	3.54	3.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.87)	3.37 ↓ (3.52)	3.36 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örgryte
44.5%

Draw
27.7%

Ljungskile
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26.5%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

20.3%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örgryte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Örgryte's form might have worsened.

Ljungskile has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (+20.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Örgryte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ljungskile than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ljungskile, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.3%	10.3%	10.3%

Örgryte - Ljungskile Predictions

Users Predictions: Örgryte will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Örgryte will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Örgryte won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Örgryte won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örgryte IS
Swedish Superettan
05.09.20	Örgryte - Norrby	2:0 ✺
31.08.20	Norrby - Örgryte	2:0 ✺
22.08.20	GAIS - Örgryte	0:0 ✺
18.08.20	Örgryte - Jönköpings Södra	2:0 ✺
13.08.20	Umeå - Örgryte	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLTWT
- Ljungskile SK
Swedish Superettan
05.09.20	Ljungskile - Akropolis	2:1 ✺
30.08.20	Akropolis - Ljungskile	1:0 ✺
23.08.20	Ljungskile - Öster	0:2 ✺
16.08.20	Degerfors - Ljungskile	4:1 ✺
12.08.20	Ljungskile - AFC Eskilstuna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
17.06.20	Ljungskile - Örgryte	2:3
22.08.16	Örgryte - Ljungskile	3:1
03.04.16	Ljungskile - Örgryte	1:1
29.10.13	Örgryte - Ljungskile	1:0
23.06.13	Ljungskile - Örgryte	1:0

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