Match Info

SWEDEN: SUPERETTAN - ROUND 30

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	AFC Eskilstuna		Örebro

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.3	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.3
	2.8	3.5	2.4	Watch
	2.96	3.75	2.4
	2.76	3.75	2.4
	2.6	3.5	2.2
	2.71	3.54	2.34	Watch
	2.7	3.45	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.32)	3.54 ↓ (3.73)	2.33 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Eskilstuna
33.9%

Draw
26.3%

Örebro
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

25.3%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

25.8%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Eskilstuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AFC Eskilstuna's form might have worsened.

Örebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Örebro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Eskilstuna than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AFC Eskilstuna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Örebro than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Örebro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

AFC Eskilstuna - Örebro Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. AFC Eskilstuna will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Örebro will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Örebro: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wolters N. (G) 25. Adolfsson M. 4. Modig J. (C) 22. Hansemon T. 3. Fryers Z. 43. Hudu A. 6. Williams R. 14. Lindberg O. 17. Thorell L. 23. Culum A. 9. Larsson A.	13. Strindholm D. (G) 6. Crona S. 5. Hultqvist D. 15. Bergmark N. 27. Valgeirsson V. 22. Shlimon L. 8. Walker K. (C) 21. Barsoum E. 12. Larsson J. 11. Kroon S. 17. Holmberg K.
Substitutes
5. Cabdi H. 20. Duah E. 7. Maarouf S. 70. Mendi 35. Nilsson W. (G) 28. Sasman Y. 2. Sundgren R.	10. Backman V. 20. Bark A. 2. Bjornquist D. 18. Bonde R. 1. Eskelinen W. (G) 23. Sandberg V. 14. Shagaxle H.
Coaches
Andersson T.	Jardler C.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches AFC Eskilstuna won 0.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches AFC Eskilstuna won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-13.

Including matches at home between the teams AFC Eskilstuna won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Eskilstuna
Swedish Superettan
05.11.23	Sundsvall - AFC Eskilstuna	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	AFC Eskilstuna - Jönköpings Södra	2:2 ✺
22.10.23	Brage - AFC Eskilstuna	4:0 ✺
08.10.23	AFC Eskilstuna - Landskrona	0:1 ✺
02.10.23	Utsikten - AFC Eskilstuna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTLLT
- Örebro SK
Swedish Superettan
04.11.23	Örebro - Landskrona	4:0 ✺
28.10.23	Östersund - Örebro	4:3 ✺
24.10.23	Örebro - Sundsvall	0:1 ✺
07.10.23	Öster - Örebro	3:0 ✺
03.10.23	Helsingborg - Örebro	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
30.04.23	Örebro - AFC Eskilstuna	3:0
01.10.22	AFC Eskilstuna - Örebro	0:1
23.05.22	Örebro - AFC Eskilstuna	1:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
31.08.19	Örebro - AFC Eskilstuna	3:1
12.04.19	AFC Eskilstuna - Örebro	1:1
Club Friendly
24.03.18	Örebro - AFC Eskilstuna	0:0
Swedish Allsvenskan
21.09.17	Örebro - AFC Eskilstuna	2:3

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