Match Info

Superettan - Round 11

Date: 10 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Behrn Arena (Örebro)

Referee: Alknas F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play


	Örebro		Sundsvall

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.75	Watch
	2.00	3.30	3.40
	1.95	3.35	3.85
	2	3.42	4.05
	1.98	3.28	3.94	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.6
	1.98	3.23	3.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.82)	3.25 ↓ (3.56)	3.79 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örebro
47.1%

Draw
28.4%

Sundsvall
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

26.2%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

25.4%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Sundsvall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örebro than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Örebro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sundsvall than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	7.1%	14.3%

Örebro - Sundsvall Predictions

Users Predictions: Örebro will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
75. Ojrzynski J. (G) 22. Bovalina G. 3. Sandberg V. 32. Stenberg J. 11. Redenstrand C. 9. Yakoub A. 8. Kusu M. 5. Ortmark J. 7. Wikman S. 99. Yasin A. 17. Holmberg K. (C)	1. Olsson J. (G) 2. Pantelidis A. 6. Manchon M. (C) 23. Aviander H. 9. Kagayama T. 30. Mambu J. 18. Forsberg L. 17. Eriksson N. 3. Hallin M. 20. Bjornler J. 15. Kebbeh S.
Substitutes
15. Astvald L. 14. Dana H. 23. Dickson K. 2. Ghasem A. 18. Hrastovina E. 6. Ibrahimbegovic E. 30. Runheim B. (G) 12. Salihovic D. 21. Wahlstrom F.	5. Atlee A. 27. Bahtijar A. 34. Bjuhr W. 22. Eriksson M. 19. Finey Y. 16. Hansson E. 7. Sandberg M. 21. Sulaiman K. 11. Tammivuori S.
Coaches
Norling R.	Doros Guler I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Wikman S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Kusu M. ↓, Ibrahimbegovic E. ↑,
62', Bjornler J. ↓, Finey Y. ↑,
62', Mambu J. ↓, Sandberg M. ↑,
68', Hallin M. ↓, Bahtijar A. ↑,
77', Eriksson N. 🟨,
83', 0 - 1, Finey Y. ⚽, Kagayama T. (A),
83', Wikman S. ↓, Dana H. ↑,
83', Holmberg K. ↓, Hrastovina E. ↑,
86', Pantelidis A. 🟨,
90', Redenstrand C. ↓, Dickson K. ↑,
90', Ortmark J. ↓, Ghasem A. ↑,
90', Aviander H. ↓, Eriksson M. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Örebro won 1.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Örebro will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Örebro won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Örebro won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Orebro	25	5	9	11	27:39	-12	24
16	Sundsvall	25	6	1	18	19:53	-34	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örebro SK
Swedish Superettan
31.05.26	Östersund - Örebro	3:2 ✺
26.05.26	Örebro - Helsingborg	1:2 ✺
18.05.26	Oddevold - Örebro	4:1 ✺
12.05.26	Värnamo - Örebro	0:1 ✺
08.05.26	Örebro - Brage	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLWL
- GIF Sundsvall
Swedish Superettan
30.05.26	Sundsvall - Sandviken	0:3 ✺
24.05.26	Varbergs BoIS - Sundsvall	1:0 ✺
18.05.26	Sundsvall - Landskrona	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	Ljungskile - Sundsvall	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Sundsvall - Norrköping	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
26.07.25	Sundsvall - Örebro	1:1
17.05.25	Örebro - Sundsvall	1:2
31.08.24	Örebro - Sundsvall	0:0
29.06.24	Sundsvall - Örebro	1:3
24.10.23	Örebro - Sundsvall	0:1
22.07.23	Sundsvall - Örebro	2:2
Swedish Allsvenskan
14.09.19	Örebro - Sundsvall	0:0

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