Match Info

Division 1 - Södra - Round 8

Date: 18 May 2026, Monday

Location: Hyllie IP (Malmö)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	AFC Malmö		Tvååker

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.95	4.85	Watch
	1.96	3.56	3.67
	1.92	3.76	3.54	Watch
	1.57	3.6	4.6
	1.57	3.84	4.96	Watch
	1.7	3.55	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.75)	3.71 ↑ (3.7)	4.26 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Malmö
53.6%

Draw
24.8%

Tvååker
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

24.8%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

24.1%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Tvååker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Malmö than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tvååker than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

AFC Malmö - Tvååker Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Martensson P. (G) 22. Alievski E. 77. Castro V. 7. Eliassi E. 19. Fatahi M. 8. Harletun K. 12. Hebrunn G. 2. Karim S. 5. Larsen L. (C) 11. Reinholdsson A. 10. Reuterskiold A.	35. Nielsen A. (G) 6. Ademi L. 9. Ajdarevic A. 22. Graudums T. 5. Gustavsson G. 3. Gustavsson V. 13. Karlsson V. 18. Larsson M. 19. Shamoun I. 11. Sjoland M. (C) 8. Wiman I.
Substitutes
30. Awad A. 1. Brandin O. 36. Christiansson V. 21. Martinsson F. 17. Podrimcaku A. 99. Sener C. 3. Sjostrand Bjurnemark A.	21. Khoshaba A. 10. Laci M. 1. Lehto L. (G) 15. Lundgren N. 14. Tshikupe M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Castro V. ↓, Awad A. ↑,
46', Reinholdsson A. ↓, Sener C. ↑,
46', Hebrunn G. ↓, Martinsson F. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Ajdarevic A. ⚽,
72', Shamoun I. ↓, Laci M. ↑,
76', Eliassi E. ↓, Podrimcaku A. ↑,
77', Alievski E. ↓, Sjostrand Bjurnemark A. ↑,
80', Ajdarevic A. ↓, Lundgren N. ↑,
89', Sjoland M. ↓, Tshikupe M. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 8).

AFC Malmö is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Tvååker has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, AFC Malmö is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, AFC Malmö won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, AFC Malmö won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AFC Malmo	25	11	8	6	45:35	10	41
9	Tvaaker	25	9	6	10	33:39	-6	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Malmö
Swedish Division 1 Södra
14.05.26	Trollhättan - AFC Malmö	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	AFC Malmö - Hässleholm	3:2 ✺
02.05.26	Utsikten - AFC Malmö	0:3 ✺
25.04.26	Åtvidaberg - AFC Malmö	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	AFC Malmö - Rosengård 1917	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLT
- Tvååkers IF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
14.05.26	Tvååker - Olympic	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Rosengård 1917 - Tvååker	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Tvååker - Laholms	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Lunds - Tvååker	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Trelleborg - Tvååker	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
25.08.24	AFC Malmö - Tvååker	4:1
08.06.24	Tvååker - AFC Malmö	0:2
19.08.23	AFC Malmö - Tvååker	0:1
29.04.23	Tvååker - AFC Malmö	0:1

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