Match Info

SWEDEN: DIVISION 1 - SÖDRA - ROUND 11

Date: 3 June 2023, Saturday


	AFC Malmö		Ahlafors

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.4	4
	1.74	3.75	4.19
	1.85	3.2	3.6
	1.72	3.74	4.2
	1.78	3.5	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.02)	3.52 ↑ (3.3)	3.99 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Malmö
51.5%

Draw
25.8%

Ahlafors
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

27.7%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AFC Malmö's performance.

Ahlafors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Malmö than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AFC Malmö that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ahlafors than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

AFC Malmö - Ahlafors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van Herk M. (G) 2. Arnshed S. 10. Awad A. 5. Bunjaku G. 8. Dahlberg F. 15. Frojdh S. 20. Habibi A. (C) 22. Hushmand E. 14. Hussein I. 7. Khalid O. 6. Yeboah E.	21. Andersson V. 29. Clason R. 22. Edlund S. 17. Jatta N. 20. Lindstrom J. 4. Nilsson J. 10. Olsson P. 16. Strandahl N. 8. Tidstrand D. (C) 11. Valtersson E. 7. Zetterlund J.
Substitutes
11. Amiri N. 23. Azizi S. 30. Egly V. (G) 19. Holmkvist T. 16. Kowalski N. 9. Wassholm T. 94. Zadran N.	14. Adan M. 30. Alexandersson M. (G) 15. Kocevski K. 18. Sirinic F. 31. Skanberg A. (G) 28. Soder H. 3. Soder N.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 7).

Ariana is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ahlafors is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Ariana is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Malmö
Swedish Division 1 Södra
27.05.23	AFC Malmö - Oskarshamn	4:0 ✺
21.05.23	Trollhättan - AFC Malmö	3:1 ✺
17.05.23	AFC Malmö - Olympic	3:4 ✺
13.05.23	Åtvidaberg - AFC Malmö	2:0 ✺
06.05.23	AFC Malmö - Vänersborgs IF	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL
- Ahlafors IF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
27.05.23	Ahlafors - Tvååker	1:0 ✺
21.05.23	Olympic - Ahlafors	0:1 ✺
17.05.23	Ahlafors - Ängelholm	3:0 ✺
13.05.23	Ahlafors - Torn	1:1 ✺
06.05.23	Lunds - Ahlafors	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWTL

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