Match Info

Division 1 - Södra - Round 13

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Hyllie IP (Malmö)


	AFC Malmö		Trollhättan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	4	4.33
	1.65	4.15	4.51
				Watch
	1.6	3.8	4.6
	1.68	3.83	4.72	Watch
	1.67	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.66)	3.91 ↓ (3.98)	4.47 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Malmö
56%

Draw
23.5%

Trollhättan
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

23.2%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

22.2%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Trollhättan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Malmö than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trollhättan than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

AFC Malmö - Trollhättan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Al Rekabe K. (G) 2. Andersson P. 99. Andersson V. 4. Blomqvist A. 5. Bunjaku G. 22. Karaman E. 36. Kristiansson V. 12. Mehmed E. 6. Nouri B. (C) 10. Reuterskiold A. 7. Sandstrom A.	1. Hogg C. (C) 22. Abdirsak H. 15. Belouchi M. 13. Berg M. 18. Bosnic S. 6. Jensen W. 8. Reljanovic E. 2. Rundqvist S. 19. Sterner F. 5. Svensson N. 7. Tilly H.
Substitutes
17. Abuzayda S. 77. Castro V. 25. Lubwama R. (G) 20. Simba P. 3. Sjostrand Bjurnemark A. 14. Wettergren L. 9. Zadran R.	11. Abdi Y. 9. Eze D. 25. Henriksson J. 17. Hermansson V. 14. Sernling T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Sernling T. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Mehmed E. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 2, Bosnic S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 1 - 3, Bosnic S. ⚽,
56', 🟨,
70', 2 - 3, Nouri B. (Pen),
76', Eze D. 🟥,
83', 3 - 3, Castro V. ⚽,
89', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Ariana is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ariana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ariana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Malmö
Swedish Division 1 Södra
07.06.25	Oskarshamn - AFC Malmö	1:3 ✺
01.06.25	AFC Malmö - Norrby	0:2 ✺
29.05.25	Torslanda - AFC Malmö	0:0 ✺
24.05.25	AFC Malmö - Ljungskile	3:2 ✺
17.05.25	Eskilsminne - AFC Malmö	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLTWT
- IFK Trollhättan
Swedish Division 1 Södra
05.06.25	Trollhättan - IFK Skövde	4:0 ✺
01.06.25	Eskilsminne - Trollhättan	2:2 ✺
29.05.25	Trollhättan - Olympic	0:3 ✺
23.05.25	Torslanda - Trollhättan	4:1 ✺
16.05.25	Norrby - Trollhättan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
17.08.24	Trollhättan - AFC Malmö	3:2
19.05.24	AFC Malmö - Trollhättan	0:1
07.10.23	AFC Malmö - Trollhättan	2:2
21.05.23	Trollhättan - AFC Malmö	3:1

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