Match Info

Date: 15 May 2022, Sunday


	AFC Malmö		Karlskrona

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.9	4.2
	1.56	3.9	4.3
	1.61	4.16	4.59
	1.6	4.1	4.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.82)	4.02 ↑ (3.82)	4.4 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Malmö
56.9%

Draw
22.5%

Karlskrona
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

23.7%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

23.7%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Malmö has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AFC Malmö's performance.

Karlskrona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karlskrona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Malmö than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AFC Malmö that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlskrona than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karlskrona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

AFC Malmö - Karlskrona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 and 8).

Ariana is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Karlskrona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ariana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ariana is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ariana to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Malmö
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
11.05.22	Rosengård 1917 - AFC Malmö	2:1 ✺
07.05.22	Nosaby - AFC Malmö	0:2 ✺
30.04.22	AFC Malmö - Hässleholm	2:0 ✺
24.04.22	Österlen - AFC Malmö	0:1 ✺
16.04.22	AFC Malmö - Asarum	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWWWW
- FK Karlskrona
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
08.05.22	Karlskrona - Räppe GoIF	1:3 ✺
30.04.22	Balkan - Karlskrona	2:2 ✺
24.04.22	Kristianstad - Karlskrona	2:0 ✺
15.04.22	Karlskrona - Nosaby	1:0 ✺
08.04.22	Hässleholm - Karlskrona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTLWW

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