Match Info

Date: 3 August 2021, Tuesday


	AFC Telford United		Stafford Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.6	3.3
	1.7	4.6	3.25
	1.7	4.3	3.25
	1.74	4.61	3.33
	1.7	3.9	3.6
	1.76	3.92	3.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.55)	4.32 ↑ (4.2)	3.42 ↓ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Telford United
52.6%

Draw
20.9%

Stafford Rangers
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

21.6%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

14.4%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Telford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AFC Telford United's form might have worsened.

Stafford Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stafford Rangers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AFC Telford United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stafford Rangers than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

AFC Telford United - Stafford Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Stafford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Telford is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Telford won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Telford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Telford United
Club Friendly
24.07.21	AFC Telford United - Notts County	0:1 ✺
20.07.21	Nuneaton Town - AFC Telford United	2:2 ✺
13.07.21	AFC Telford United - Shrewsbury Town	2:3 ✺
10.07.21	Market Drayton Town - AFC Telford United	0:1 ✺
06.07.21	1874 Northwich - AFC Telford United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLWW
- Stafford Rangers
Club Friendly
24.07.21	Rushall Olympic - Stafford Rangers	1:3 ✺
17.07.21	Hednesford Town - Stafford Rangers	1:0 ✺
13.07.21	Nantwich Town - Stafford Rangers	3:1 ✺
09.07.21	Stafford Rangers - Port Vale	2:0 ✺
01.07.21	Stafford Rangers - The New Saints	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
03.10.17	AFC Telford United - Stafford Rangers	4:1
30.09.17	Stafford Rangers - AFC Telford United	1:1
Club Friendly
31.07.14	Stafford Rangers - AFC Telford United	1:2

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