The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Southport 30.8%
Draw 25.5%
AFC Telford United 43.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.9%
25.6%
43.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Southport have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for AFC Telford United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southport than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 23rd in the Relegation and 17th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southport won 1.
Southport is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Telford have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Telford may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Telford holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Southport has recorded 4 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:22 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Southport against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 6:12 goals (averaging 0.8:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
17
AFC Telford
14
4
4
6
14:20
-6
16
23
Southport
13
2
4
7
13:23
-10
10
Last Results with these Odds
Southport - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 30.78%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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