The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AGF Aarhus 61.1%
Draw 21.4%
SønderjyskE 17.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.3%
21.8%
19.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.4%
21%
19.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
SønderjyskE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SønderjyskE than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.9%
23.1%
0%
AGF Aarhus - SønderjyskE Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Aarhus will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Aarhus: 54% – 99.8%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.56) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
BTTS - yes (1.57) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.
O/U 2.5 - over (1.48) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hansen J. (G) 14. Molgaard T. 5. Tingager F. 3. Gretarsson D. L. 29. Carstensen R. 4. Knudsen M. 10. Arnstad K. 39. Emmery F. 31. Bech T. 23. Anderson M. 13. Serra J.
24. Shinton N. (G) 3. Munksgaard A. 12. Soulas M. 25. Bjarnason B. 19. Kristensen P. 17. Hoeg A. 10. Olesen M. (C) 31. Seydi I. 8. Haidara M. 7. Emini S. 11. De Rosario O.
Substitutes
26. Andersen J. 28. Bogere J. 21. Hedenstad M. (G) 8. Jorgensen S. 19. Kahl E. 18. McCowatt C. 25. Rosler C. 7. Solbakken M. 27. Tchamche S.
33. Christensen J. 1. Flo N. (G) 14. Haltvik T. 34. Hjort- Pedersen E. 9. Hoppe M. 22. Oggesen A. 26. Tambedou B. 21. Velkov S. 30. Wagner G.
Coaches
Poulsen J.
Abdirahman F.
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 11th in the Superliga (Relegation Group: ) and 12th in the Superliga (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aarhus won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
SønderjyskE could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Aarhus carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Confirmed absences for Aarhus: Poulsen N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Yakob K.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Aarhus: Haugstrup O.
(Knock)
Kristjansson T.
(Broken Hand)
Links G.
(Knock)
McCowatt C.
(Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Aarhus has recorded 11 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 38:22 (averaging 1.9:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Aarhus against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 20:11 goals (averaging 2:1.1 per game).
Outrights of Danish Superliga for now
Aarhus: 0.52% Sonderjyske: 0.37%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Aarhus
9
0
5
4
11:17
-6
5
12
Sonderjyske
9
1
2
6
12:21
-9
5
Last Results with these Odds
AGF Aarhus - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 58.28%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.