Match Info

Superliga - Round 11

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parken Stadium (Copenhagen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Graagaard L. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	18:00	TV3+, Viaplay
Finland	19:00	Viaplay
North Macedonia	18:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	18:00	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Serbia	18:00	Arena Sport 4
Sweden	18:00	Viaplay


	Copenhagen		AGF Aarhus

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	5	Watch
	1.58	4.10	5.00
	1.6	3.95	5.3
	1.65	4.26	5.31
	1.63	4.21	4.98	Watch
	1.61	4.2	5.25
	1.62	4.06	5.35	Watch
	1.6	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.53)	4.12 ↓ (4.47)	5.15 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Copenhagen
58.7%

Draw
22.9%

AGF Aarhus
18.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.7%

21.1%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

20.4%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Copenhagen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Copenhagen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Copenhagen (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - FC Copenhagen (1.57) (votes: 94%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Copenhagen will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Copenhagen (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ramaj D. (G) 2. Beijmo F. 4. Sorensen A. 6. Markgraf A. 15. Lopez M. 33. Kral A. 36. Clem W. 20. Suzuki J. 10. Elyounoussi M. (C) 16. Robert 39. Dadason V.	1. Hansen J. (G) 14. Molgaard T. 5. Tingager F. 3. Gretarsson D. L. 29. Carstensen R. 4. Knudsen M. 10. Arnstad K. (C) 39. Emmery F. 31. Bech T. 18. McCowatt C. 13. Serra J.
Substitutes
7. Carrizo M. 27. Delaney T. 21. Madsen M. 12. Maseko T. 24. Meling B. 34. Nasnas M. 28. Nemeth H. 31. Runarsson R. A. (G) 44. Vianney Ndjee G.	26. Andersen J. 28. Bogere J. 21. Hedenstad M. (G) 16. Jonsson J. 8. Jorgensen S. 19. Kahl E. 25. Rosler C. 7. Solbakken M. 27. Tchamche S.
Coaches
Svensson B.	Poulsen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Robert ⚽, Lopez M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Carstensen R. ↓, Andersen J. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Serra J. ⚽, Emmery F. (A),
65', Clem W. ↓, Delaney T. ↑,
67', Gretarsson D. L. ↓, Kahl E. ↑,
74', Serra J. ↓, Bogere J. ↑,
75', McCowatt C. ↓, Solbakken M. ↑,
75', Dadason V. ↓, Vianney Ndjee G. ↑,
75', Kral A. 🟨,
84', Elyounoussi M. ↓, Maseko T. ↑,
84', Robert ↓, Madsen M. ↑,
84', Lopez M. ↓, Meling B. ↑,
90+1', Molgaard T. 🟨,

Preview

This match features the league leader against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group: ) and 10th in the Superliga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Copenhagen won 2.

Copenhagen has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Aarhus shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Aarhus could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Copenhagen has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this matchup, Copenhagen is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Copenhagen: Madsen M. (Illness) Mattsson M. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Aarhus: Camara M. (Inactive) Haugstrup O. (Knock) Kristjansson T. (Broken Hand) Links G. (Knock) Poulsen N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Yakob K. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Aarhus: Anderson M. (Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Copenhagen has recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 38:30 (averaging 1.9:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Copenhagen against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 21:16 goals (averaging 2.1:1.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	FC Copenhagen	12	8	2	2	26:12	14	26
8	Aarhus	12	2	6	4	17:19	-2	12

Outrights of Danish Superliga for now

FC Copenhagen: 39.64% Aarhus: 0.65%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Copenhagen
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Copenhagen - Braga	3:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
11.10.26	Midtjylland - Copenhagen	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.10.26	Hamburger SV - Copenhagen	2:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
20.09.26	Brøndby - Copenhagen	0:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
15.09.26	Skovshoved - Copenhagen	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLWW
- AGF Aarhus
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Gent - AGF Aarhus	1:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
12.10.26	AGF Aarhus - SønderjyskE	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	AGF Aarhus - Vendsyssel	2:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
20.09.26	Horsens - AGF Aarhus	2:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
16.09.26	Skjold - AGF Aarhus	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
30.11.25	AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen	2:0
08.08.25	Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus	2:3
27.04.25	AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen	1:3
21.04.25	Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus	3:1
Club Friendly
08.02.25	AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen	4:3
Danish Superliga
10.11.24	AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen	1:1
28.07.24	Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus	3:2

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