Match Info

Superliga - Round 4

Date: 8 August 2025, Friday

Location: Parken Stadium (Copenhagen)

Referee: Redder M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 4
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Ukraine	Sport 2
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Copenhagen		AGF Aarhus

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	3.9	Watch
	1.65	3.8	4.8
	1.82	3.65	4.25	Watch
	1.91	3.63	4.3
	1.93	3.43	3.92	Watch
	1.57	3.9	5
	1.76	3.85	4.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.58)	3.69 ↓ (4.18)	4.38 ↓ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Copenhagen
52.9%

Draw
25.5%

AGF Aarhus
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

22.6%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

22.2%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Copenhagen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Copenhagen's form might have worsened.

AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Copenhagen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.2%	10.8%	0%

Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Copenhagen (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Copenhagen (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Copenhagen (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Copenhagen will win (31 of 33 users predict this - 93.94%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.8% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Copenhagen will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Copenhagen (votes: 15 - 93.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Kotarski D. (G) 13. Huescas R. 5. Gabriel Pereira 6. Hatzidiakos P. 24. Meling B. 11. Larsson J. 8. Mattsson M. 12. Lerager L. 16. Robert 9. Moukoko Y. 7. Claesson V.	1. Hansen J. (G) 3. Dalsgaard H. 5. Tingager F. 19. Kahl E. 2. Beijmo F. 6. Poulsen N. 7. Madsen M. 11. Links G. 31. Bech T. 9. Mortensen P. 10. Arnstad K.
Substitutes
30. Achouri E. 61. Buur O. (G) 36. Clem W. 14. Cornelius A. 27. Delaney T. 10. Elyounoussi M. 4. Garananga M. 15. Lopez M. 22. Zague Y.	33. Callo L. 29. Carstensen R. 39. Emmery F. 40. Jensen-Abbew J. 8. Jorgensen S. 13. Serra J. 27. Tchamche S. 22. Wahlstedt L. (G) 17. Yakob K.
Coaches
Neestrup J.	Poulsen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Mortensen P. ⚽, Madsen M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
57', 0 - 2, Bech T. ⚽,
59', Claesson V. ↓, Elyounoussi M. ↑,
59', Lerager L. ↓, Delaney T. ↑,
59', Robert ↓, Achouri E. ↑,
63', Hatzidiakos P. 🟨,
67', Moukoko Y. ↓, Cornelius A. ↑,
71', Kahl E. ↓, Carstensen R. ↑,
74', 0 - 3, Links G. ⚽,
75', Links G. 🟨,
76', 1 - 3, Larsson J. ⚽,
80', Mortensen P. ↓, Serra J. ↑,
80', Bech T. ↓, Tchamche S. ↑,
83', Cornelius A. 🟨,
83', Arnstad K. 🟨,
84', 2 - 3, Mattsson M. (Pen),
84', Huescas R. ↓, Zague Y. ↑,
90+6', Beijmo F. 🟨,
90+8', Beijmo F. ↓, Jensen-Abbew J. ↑,
90+10', Hansen J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Copenhagen won 3.

Copenhagen has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Aarhus's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Copenhagen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Copenhagen is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Copenhagen: Hojer O. (Surgery) Moalem J. (Hip Injury) Suzuki J. (Injury)

There will not play in Aarhus: Andersen J. (Knee Injury) Badji Y. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Copenhagen: Moukoko Y. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Aarhus: Dalsgaard H. (Injury) Molgaard T. (Inactive)

We predict that Copenhagen will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Copenhagen won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:29. (average 2.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Copenhagen won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:17. (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Copenhagen
UEFA Champions League
05.08.25	Malmö - Copenhagen	0:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
01.08.25	Fredericia - Copenhagen	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.07.25	Drita Gjilan - Copenhagen	0:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
26.07.25	Copenhagen - Vejle Boldklub Kolding	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.07.25	Copenhagen - Drita Gjilan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWWWW
- AGF Aarhus
Danish Superliga
03.08.25	AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland	0:0 ✺
25.07.25	AGF Aarhus - Randers FC	1:2 ✺
20.07.25	SønderjyskE - AGF Aarhus	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Ajax - AGF Aarhus	1:1 ✺
06.07.25	AGF Aarhus - OB Odense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
27.04.25	AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen	1:3
21.04.25	Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus	3:1
Club Friendly
08.02.25	AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen	4:3
Danish Superliga
10.11.24	AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen	1:1
28.07.24	Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus	3:2
21.05.24	AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen	3:2
28.04.24	Copenhagen - AGF Aarhus	3:2

Upcoming Matches