Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Planet Group Arena (Gent) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sariev B. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	13:45	Disney+
Armenia	20:45	Fast Sports
Australia	03:45	Stan Sport
Belgium	18:45	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	13:45	Disney+
Colombia	11:45	Disney+
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Estonia	19:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 7
Hong Kong	00:45	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	16:45	SÝN Sport 3, Viaplay
India	22:15	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
Indonesia	23:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Lithuania	19:45	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Maldives	21:45	Medianet
Mexico	10:45	Disney+
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Peru	11:45	Disney+
Philippines	00:45	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	17:45	DAZN / App
Singapore	00:45	beIN SPORTS MAX
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Thailand	23:45	beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 15
United Kingdom	17:45	HBO Max
Uruguay	13:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	12:45	Disney+


	Gent		AGF Aarhus

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	4.75
	1.63	3.75	4.60
	1.6	3.85	4.9
	1.64	4.09	5.47
	1.6	4.26	5.2	Watch
	1.62	4	5.25
	1.64	4.26	4.82
	1.62	4.3	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.72)	4.09 ↑ (3.93)	5.05 ↑ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gent
58.2%

Draw
23.1%

AGF Aarhus
18.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.9%

24%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

23.2%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

AGF Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.7%	3.4%	6.9%

Gent - AGF Aarhus Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gent (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Gent (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.85) (votes: 92%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Gent will win (26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gent (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Roef D. (C) 16. Burgess C. 44. Van Der Heyden S. 3. Paskotsi M. 27. De Vlieger T. 7. Balikwisha M. 57. Volckaert M. 17. Delorge M. 20. Araujo T. 75. Cisse I. 11. Sonko M.	21. Hedenstad M. (G) 25. Rosler C. 3. Gretarsson D. L. 19. Kahl E. 26. Andersen J. 18. McCowatt C. 7. Solbakken M. 10. Arnstad K. (C) 23. Anderson M. 27. Tchamche S. 28. Bogere J.
Substitutes
39. Ayinde A. 8. Benes L. 56. Diallo M. 28. El Adfaoui M. 45. Goore H. 37. Kadri A. 22. Lopes L. 10. Omgba A. 30. Peersman K. (G) 18. Samoise M. 59. Seck E. H. 14. Wilson K.	31. Bech T. 33. Callo L. 29. Carstensen R. 39. Emmery F. 1. Hansen J. (G) 16. Jonsson J. 8. Jorgensen S. 4. Knudsen M. 14. Molgaard T. 13. Serra J. 5. Tingager F. 42. van der Raad M. (G)
Coaches
De Mil R.	Poulsen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Anderson M. ↓, Emmery F. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gretarsson D. L. ↓, Molgaard T. ↑,
46', Van Der Heyden S. ↓, Diallo M. ↑,
58', Bogere J. 🟨,
62', Arnstad K. ↓, Knudsen M. ↑,
66', Volckaert M. ↓, Goore H. ↑,
73', Delorge M. 🟨,
76', Solbakken M. 🟨,
77', Kahl E. ↓, Tingager F. ↑,
77', Solbakken M. ↓, Jonsson J. ↑,
77', Delorge M. ↓, Lopes L. ↑,
86', De Vlieger T. 🟨,
87', 1 - 0, Goore H. ⚽, Araujo T. (A),

Preview

Gent arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Aarhus is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Aarhus may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Gent for this game.

Confirmed absences for Gent: Cooman L. (Off the roster) Dean M. (Off the roster) Gerkens P. (Off the roster) Ngom M. (Inactive) Vandenberghe T. (Off the roster) Vergara J. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Aarhus: Camara M. (Inactive) Haugstrup O. (Knock) Kristjansson T. (Broken Hand) Links G. (Knock) Poulsen N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Yakob K. (Knee Injury) van der Raad M. (Off the roster).

Our forecast points to a victory for Gent in today's match, at odds of 1.62.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Gent	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
26	Aarhus	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Gent: 1.96% Aarhus: 0.32%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.10.26	Zulte Waregem - Gent	0:2 ✺
18.09.26	Gent - Standard Liège	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Genk - Gent	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Cercle Brugge - Gent	0:3 ✺
03.09.26	Gent - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWTWW
- AGF Aarhus
Danish Superliga
12.10.26	AGF Aarhus - SønderjyskE	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	AGF Aarhus - Vendsyssel	2:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
20.09.26	Horsens - AGF Aarhus	2:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
16.09.26	Skjold - AGF Aarhus	1:6 ✺
Danish Superliga
13.09.26	Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWTWL

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