Match Info

DENMARK: ELITEDIVISIONEN WOMEN - ROUND 11

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	AGF Aarhus		Thisted

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.5	4.33
	1.66	3.65	4.2
	1.69	4.16	3.85
	1.7	4.16	3.52
	1.6	3.4	4.5
	1.65	3.58	4.65
	1.65	4	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.87)	3.78 ↓ (4.05)	4.16 ↑ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AGF Aarhus
54.5%

Draw
23.9%

Thisted
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

23.7%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

21.6%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AGF Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Thisted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AGF Aarhus than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AGF Aarhus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thisted than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thisted could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Gade M. (G) 8. Dyrehauge S. 2. Fremo T. 3. Green A. 15. Hogh M. 88. Jorgensen S. 25. Mathiasen J. 27. Olesen M. 4. Ross J. 6. Sundahl S. 13. Visalli B.	1. Bay M. (G) 21. Andersen V. 18. Billing E. 16. Damsgaard S. 23. Fink E. 27. Givskov A. 8. Lindekrantz V. 10. Nielsen C. 24. Nystrup J. 3. Sandfeld M. 6. Torolvsdottir J.
Substitutes
7. Hoppe E. 19. Jorgensen S. 16. Lerche M. 18. Nejmann E. 10. Rasmussen M. 17. Spanner K. 1. Svane K. (G)	26. Eskerod F. 7. Gonzalez K. 5. Hjortso C. 17. Lauritsen A. 20. Petersson L. (G) 9. Rasmusdottir M. 19. Winter C.

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Elitedivisionen Women (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Elitedivisionen Women (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aarhus won 2.

Recent matches Aarhus is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Thisted is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Aarhus is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Aarhus won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Aarhus won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AGF Aarhus Women
Danish A-Liga Women
12.11.23	Brøndby - AGF Aarhus	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	Nordsjælland - AGF Aarhus	2:0 ✺
21.10.23	AGF Aarhus - Kolding	2:0 ✺
14.10.23	Fortuna Hjørring - AGF Aarhus	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	AGF Aarhus - Aalborg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLW
- Thisted FC Women
Danish A-Liga Women
11.11.23	Thisted - Fortuna Hjørring	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Thisted - Aalborg	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	HB Køge - Thisted	3:1 ✺
15.10.23	Thisted - Brøndby	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Nordsjælland - Thisted	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Danish A-Liga Women
16.09.23	Thisted - AGF Aarhus	0:1
29.10.22	AGF Aarhus - Thisted	6:1
21.08.22	Thisted - AGF Aarhus	2:1
16.10.21	AGF Aarhus - Thisted	2:3
15.08.21	Thisted - AGF Aarhus	1:0
17.10.20	Thisted - AGF Aarhus	1:3
19.08.20	AGF Aarhus - Thisted	0:1

AGF Aarhus - Thisted: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide