Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 16

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	AJEL de Rufisque		Sonacos

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.45	4.55
	2.09	2.42	5.15	Watch
	2.05	2.5	4.2
	2.04	3.01	4.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.09)	2.6 ↑ (2.41)	4.49 ↓ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AJEL de Rufisque
44.4%

Draw
35.2%

Sonacos
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

37.8%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

37%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AJEL de Rufisque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Sonacos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

The ML Model estimate for AJEL de Rufisque aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sonacos than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

AJEL de Rufisque - Sonacos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 and 11).

In recent matches, AJEL has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sonacos is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, AJEL is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, AJEL won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Including home match between the teams, AJEL won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	AJEL	30	15	9	6	27:19	8	54
15	Sonacos	30	4	13	13	18:39	-21	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJEL de Rufisque
Senegal Ligue 1
15.02.26	AJEL de Rufisque - Génération Foot	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Linguère - AJEL de Rufisque	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	AJEL de Rufisque - Gorée	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Guédiawaye - AJEL de Rufisque	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	AJEL de Rufisque - Teungueth	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWWL
- Sonacos
Senegal Ligue 1
16.02.26	Sonacos - Ouakam	0:0 ✺
09.02.26	HLM - Sonacos	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Sonacos - Jaraaf	0:0 ✺
07.01.26	Pikine - Sonacos	2:0 ✺
28.12.25	Dakar SC - Sonacos	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Senegal Ligue 1
20.05.25	AJEL de Rufisque - Sonacos	0:0

AJEL de Rufisque - Sonacos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide