Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 11

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	AJEL de Rufisque		Teungueth

	1	X	2
	2.48	2.52	3.05
	2.57	2.5	3.36	Watch
	2.45	2.45	3.2
	2.53	2.69	3.31	Watch
	2.54	2.4	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.19)	2.51 ↓ (2.71)	3.25 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AJEL de Rufisque
36%

Draw
36.1%

Teungueth
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

33.9%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

32.7%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AJEL de Rufisque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AJEL de Rufisque's form might have worsened.

Teungueth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AJEL de Rufisque than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AJEL de Rufisque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Teungueth than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

AJEL de Rufisque - Teungueth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 1)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 and 7).

AJEL is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Teungueth has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

AJEL might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, AJEL won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, AJEL won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Teungueth	30	13	15	2	21:6	15	54
2	AJEL	30	15	9	6	27:19	8	54

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AJEL de Rufisque
Senegal Ligue 1
07.01.26	Stade de Mbour - AJEL de Rufisque	0:2 ✺
28.12.25	AJEL de Rufisque - Wally Daan	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	AJEL de Rufisque - Dakar SC	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Ouakam - AJEL de Rufisque	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	AJEL de Rufisque - HLM	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTTWT
- Teungueth FC
Senegal Ligue 1
07.01.26	Teungueth - Ouakam	0:0 ✺
28.12.25	HLM - Teungueth	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Teungueth - Camberene	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Jaraaf - Teungueth	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Teungueth - Pikine	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Senegal Ligue 1
23.04.25	Teungueth - AJEL de Rufisque	2:0
23.11.24	AJEL de Rufisque - Teungueth	1:1

AJEL de Rufisque - Teungueth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide