Match Info

1. MFL - Round 9

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	AP Brera Strumica		Bashkimi Kumanovo

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.1	2.2
	8.80	4.56	1.34	Watch
	3.03	3.1	2.24
	3.05	3.1	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↑ (2.2)	3.47 ↑ (3.4)	2.01 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AP Brera Strumica
22.3%

Draw
28.5%

Bashkimi Kumanovo
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.4%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

25.7%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AP Brera Strumica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AP Brera Strumica's form might have worsened.

Bashkimi Kumanovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bashkimi Kumanovo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AP Brera Strumica than the current prediction. (+19.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AP Brera Strumica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bashkimi Kumanovo than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bashkimi Kumanovo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

AP Brera Strumica - Bashkimi Kumanovo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vrgov S. (G) 32. Antovski F. 33. Arizankoski A. 21. Lukovic L. 88. Makic E. 22. Mihailov F. 6. Naumcheski S. 9. Ndzengue F. 99. Stojanov K. 24. Stojilevski M. 8. Todorov M.	1. Jasar A. (G) 10. Alimi A. 80. Avornyo E. 88. Aydogan O. 8. Demiri A. 6. Lichina E. 21. Manasievski D. 4. Mislimi M. 3. Murati R. 2. Panovski B. 7. Simonovski M.
Substitutes
25. Cuestas M. 19. Delov V. 77. Drame H. 28. Hassan W. 90. Iloski D. (G) 4. Mitrev M. 29. Shirikj I. 7. Velickovski N. 3. Velkov A. 91. Velkov B.	18. Adekunle I. 23. Aleksovski F. 19. Asani R. 77. Askar H. 5. Bihorac F. 11. Dzelili F. 9. Hadzic N. 70. Jahja A. 17. Memeti R. 96. Stojkovski L. (G) 33. Zuka F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 🟨,
28', 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+4', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 🟨,
55', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
89', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 5).

Now, both teams are in good form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AP Brera Strumica
North Macedonian 1 MFL
28.09.25	Rabotnički - AP Brera Strumica	3:4 ✺
22.09.25	AP Brera Strumica - Arsimi	2:1 ✺
16.09.25	Makedonija Gjorče Petrov - AP Brera Strumica	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	AP Brera Strumica - Shkupi	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Tikveš - AP Brera Strumica	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWLWT
- KF Bashkimi Kumanovo
North Macedonian 1 MFL
29.09.25	Bashkimi Kumanovo - Vardar	0:0 ✺
23.09.25	Pelister - Bashkimi Kumanovo	1:2 ✺
16.09.25	Bashkimi Kumanovo - Sileks	2:1 ✺
12.09.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Bashkimi Kumanovo	2:1 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
09.09.25	Pobeda - Bashkimi Kumanovo	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 TWWLW

AP Brera Strumica - Bashkimi Kumanovo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide