Match Info

Gaucho 2 - Round 8

Date: 1 September 2026, Tuesday


	APAFUT		Brasil de Pelotas

	1	X	2
	3.20	2.80	2.20
	3.3	2.85	2.12
	3.5	2.73	2.12
	3.4	2.65	2.07
	3.61	2.78	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (3.35)	2.76 ↓ (3)	2.13 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

APAFUT
26.1%

Draw
32.2%

Brasil de Pelotas
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

28.9%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

27.1%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

APAFUT has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for APAFUT than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brasil de Pelotas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

APAFUT - Brasil de Pelotas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

APAFUT may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Brasil de Pelotas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APAFUT
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
19.08.26	APAFUT - Veranopolis	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	GE Glória - APAFUT	1:1 ✺
12.08.26	GE Bagé - APAFUT	0:3 ✺
05.08.26	APAFUT - Esportivo Bento Gonçalves	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Passo Fundo - APAFUT	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LTWTL
- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
27.08.26	Brasil de Pelotas - Brasil de Farroupilha	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Brasil de Pelotas - Aimoré	1:0 ✺
19.08.26	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1 ✺
12.08.26	Brasil de Pelotas - Gramadense	1:1 ✺
06.08.26	EC Guarani - Brasil de Pelotas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLTW

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