The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Brasil de Pelotas 44.1%
Draw 31.3%
Passo Fundo 24.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.5%
30.5%
26%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
31%
24.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brasil de Pelotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Passo Fundo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
The ML Model estimate for Brasil de Pelotas aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Passo Fundo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Brasil de Pelotas - Passo Fundo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Vitor Becker ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 1 - 1, Joao Victor ⚽,
Preview
First leg.
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Gaucho 2 Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 1st in the Promotion - Gaucho 2 Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
Brasil de Pelotas has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Passo Fundo is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Passo Fundo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Brasil de Pelotas has faced a series of away games on the road.
Brasil de Pelotas is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Brasil de Pelotas has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Brasil de Pelotas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.
Last Results with these Odds
Brasil de Pelotas - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 43.5%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.