Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 28

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Lambert Park (Sydney)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	NPL NNSWF


	APIA Leichhardt Tigers		SD Raiders

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.51	4.40	5.00
	1.52	4.05	4.4
	1.57	4.43	4.81
	1.57	4.57	4.72
	1.59	4.25	4.3
	1.55	4.1	4.71	Watch
	1.59	4.1	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.4)	4.27 ↓ (4.35)	4.62 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

APIA Leichhardt Tigers
58.8%

Draw
21.4%

SD Raiders
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

20.6%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

20.7%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

APIA Leichhardt Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that APIA Leichhardt Tigers's form might have worsened.

SD Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for APIA Leichhardt Tigers than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for APIA Leichhardt Tigers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Raiders than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

APIA Leichhardt Tigers - SD Raiders Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, ⚽,
43', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).

In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.

APIA Leichhardt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, APIA Leichhardt is the team to beat.

We predict that APIA Leichhardt will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, APIA Leichhardt won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- APIA Leichhardt Tigers
Australian Cup
12.08.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Sydney United	2:1 penalties ✺
Australian NPL NSW
08.08.26	St George Saints - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	Sydney Olympic - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	1:3 ✺
25.07.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - University of New South Wales	4:1 ✺
18.07.26	Western Sydney Wanderers Youth - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTWWW
- SD Raiders
Australian Cup
11.08.26	SD Raiders - Macarthur FC	2:1 penalties ✺
Australian NPL NSW
08.08.26	SD Raiders - Western Sydney Wanderers Youth	3:0 ✺
01.08.26	St George Saints - SD Raiders	2:3 ✺
25.07.26	SD Raiders - Marconi Stallions	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Wollongong Wolves - SD Raiders	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
02.05.26	SD Raiders - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	2:3

APIA Leichhardt Tigers - SD Raiders: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide