Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 26

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Belmore Sports Ground (Belmore, NSW)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	NPL NNSWF


	Sydney Olympic		APIA Leichhardt Tigers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.50	4.40	1.47
	5.50	4.20	1.43
	6.59	4.87	1.46
	5.92	4.76	1.45
	6.50	4.80	1.37
	5.72	4.37	1.50	Watch
	5.60	4.40	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.9 ↑ (5.5)	4.54 ↑ (4.2)	1.45 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sydney Olympic
15.7%

Draw
20.4%

APIA Leichhardt Tigers
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

21.3%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

21%

63.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sydney Olympic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

APIA Leichhardt Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Olympic than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for APIA Leichhardt Tigers than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Sydney Olympic - APIA Leichhardt Tigers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. APIA Leichhardt (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ NSW League One and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney Olympic won 0.

Sydney Olympic is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

APIA Leichhardt is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

APIA Leichhardt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, APIA Leichhardt is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney Olympic won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:38. (average 1.2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sydney Olympic won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.7:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

APIA Leichhardt Tigers - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 62.48%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sydney Olympic
Australian Cup
30.07.26	Sydney Olympic - Brisbane Roar	0:3 ✺
Australian NPL NSW
24.07.26	Manly United - Sydney Olympic	4:0 ✺
18.07.26	Sutherland Sharks - Sydney Olympic	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Sydney Olympic - Wollongong Wolves	3:2 ✺
04.07.26	Western Sydney Wanderers Youth - Sydney Olympic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLTWL
- APIA Leichhardt Tigers
Australian NPL NSW
25.07.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - University of New South Wales	4:1 ✺
18.07.26	Western Sydney Wanderers Youth - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	3:5 ✺
Australian Cup
14.07.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Peninsula Power	2:1 ✺
Australian NPL NSW
11.07.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Sydney FC U23	2:1 ✺
04.07.26	Sutherland Sharks - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
19.04.26	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Sydney Olympic	4:1
31.08.25	Sydney Olympic - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0:1
18.05.25	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Sydney Olympic	2:0
17.07.24	Sydney Olympic - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	1:1
17.03.24	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Sydney Olympic	2:0
05.08.23	Sydney Olympic - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	3:5
23.04.23	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - Sydney Olympic	3:0

Sydney Olympic - APIA Leichhardt Tigers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide