Match Info
NPL NSW - Round 30Date: 30 August 2026, SundayLocation: Lambert Park (Sydney)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | NPL NNSWF |
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APIA Leichhardt Tigers |
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St. George City |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
1.46 |
4.60 |
5.25 |
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 |
1.45 |
4.10 |
5.30 |
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 |
1.48 |
4.59 |
5.75 |
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 |
1.45 |
4.67 |
6.03 |
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 |
1.40 |
4.65 |
6.10 |
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 |
1.51 |
4.28 |
5.74 |
Watch |
 |
1.44 |
4.40 |
5.60 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↓
(1.47) |
4.47 ↑
(3.9) |
5.68 ↑
(5.25) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
63.2% | Draw
20.6% | St. George City
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
APIA Leichhardt Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)St. George City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for APIA Leichhardt Tigers than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with APIA Leichhardt Tigers that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George City than the current prediction. (+1.9%)APIA Leichhardt Tigers - St. George City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 41', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 49', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 55', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 60', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 82', 3 - 2, ⚽,
- 87', 4 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, APIA Leichhardt won 2.In recent matches, APIA Leichhardt has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).St. George City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).APIA Leichhardt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, APIA Leichhardt is a strong favorite.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, APIA Leichhardt won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, APIA Leichhardt won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NPL NSW | | | 16.05.26 | St. George City - APIA Leichhardt Tigers | 2:1 | | 23.08.25 | APIA Leichhardt Tigers - St. George City | 1:0 | | 10.05.25 | St. George City - APIA Leichhardt Tigers | 0:0 | | 12.06.24 | APIA Leichhardt Tigers - St. George City | 4:1 | | 06.03.24 | St. George City - APIA Leichhardt Tigers | 1:0 | | 27.08.23 | APIA Leichhardt Tigers - St. George City | 2:1 | | 13.05.23 | St. George City - APIA Leichhardt Tigers | 1:2 |
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