Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Demba Diop (Dakar)


	AS Douanes		AS SONABEL

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.78	3.47	Watch
	2.22	2.7	3.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.22)	2.74 ↑ (2.7)	3.49 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AS Douanes
40.7%

Draw
33.2%

AS SONABEL
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

33.5%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

31.9%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for AS Douanes have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

AS SONABEL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AS Douanes than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AS SONABEL than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

AS Douanes - AS SONABEL Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Compaore H. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Nikiema K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 2 - 1, Kone A. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AS Douanes won 1.

AS Douanes is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

SONABEL is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

AS Douanes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

AS Douanes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, AS Douanes won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, AS Douanes won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Sonabel Ouagadougou	3	1	0	2	4:4	0	3
13	AS Douanes	3	1	0	2	2:3	-1	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Douanes Ouagadougou
Burkina Faso Premier League
17.04.26	AS Douanes - AJEB	3:1 ✺
10.04.26	Vitesse - AS Douanes	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	AS Douanes - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	ASFA Yennenga - AS Douanes	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	AS Douanes - RDF	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTTWW
- AS SONABEL
Burkina Faso Premier League
18.04.26	RC Bobo Dioulasso - AS SONABEL	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	AS SONABEL - CFFEB	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	AS SONABEL - Rail Club du Kadiogo	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Majestic - AS SONABEL	2:2 ✺
13.03.26	Vitesse - AS SONABEL	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Burkina Faso Premier League
05.10.25	AS SONABEL - AS Douanes	0:0
19.04.25	AS Douanes - AS SONABEL	0:1
12.05.24	AS SONABEL - AS Douanes	1:0
13.10.23	AS Douanes - AS SONABEL	1:2
01.04.23	AS SONABEL - AS Douanes	0:2
21.10.22	AS Douanes - AS SONABEL	2:0
15.05.22	AS Douanes - AS SONABEL	2:0

AS Douanes - AS SONABEL: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide