The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
AS Douanes 35.9%
Draw 34.2%
Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou 29.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.8%
29.9%
18.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.7%
29.4%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AS Douanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AS Douanes's form might have worsened.
Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AS Douanes than the current prediction. (+16.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AS Douanes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
AS Douanes - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Minoungou R. ⚽, Diarra A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 2, Sebgo M. ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AS Douanes won 2.
AS Douanes is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Étoile Filante's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
AS Douanes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, AS Douanes won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, AS Douanes won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
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