Match Info
Premier League - Round 16Date: 25 January 2026, SundayLocation: Stade de la SONABEL (Ouagadougou)
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AS SONABEL |
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Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.75 |
3.14 |
4.94 |
 Watch |
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1.73 |
3.1 |
4.97 |
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1.7 |
3.1 |
5 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.71) |
3.11 ↓
(3.12) |
4.97 ↓
(5.06) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
AS SONABEL
52.6% | Draw
29.2% | Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou
18.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AS SONABEL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AS SONABEL than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou than the current prediction. (-1.4%)AS SONABEL - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SONABEL won 3.SONABEL is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Étoile Filante is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). In this match, SONABEL is seen as the favorite.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, SONABEL won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).Including home matches between the teams, SONABEL won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.6:0.4).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Sonabel Ouagadougou | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Burkina Faso Premier League | | | 26.12.25 | Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - AS SONABEL | 1:2 | | 07.03.25 | Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - AS SONABEL | 1:1 | | 28.11.24 | AS SONABEL - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou | 2:0 | | 21.02.24 | AS SONABEL - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou | 1:0 | | 13.05.23 | AS SONABEL - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou | 0:2 | | 24.09.22 | Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - AS SONABEL | 1:0 | | 23.04.22 | Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - AS SONABEL | 3:1 |
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