Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade du 4 Août (Ouagadougou) 🌤️ ...


	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou		USFA

	1	X	2
	3.97	2.92	2.00	Watch
	4.03	2.97	2.02	Watch
	3.95	2.9	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (3.95)	2.93 ↑ (2.9)	2 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou
23%

Draw
31.3%

USFA
45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

30.4%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for USFA have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USFA than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - USFA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Koutiama Y. ⚽, Nabaldeda I. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Étoile Filante won 2.

Étoile Filante is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

USFA has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Étoile Filante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

USFA could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Étoile Filante won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.4:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Étoile Filante won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou
Burkina Faso Premier League
16.11.25	Rail Club du Kadiogo - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	4:0 ✺
09.11.25	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - ASFA Yennenga	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Vitesse - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	3:1 ✺
26.10.25	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - AS Douanes	0:0 ✺
17.10.25	Majestic - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLTL
- USFA
Burkina Faso Premier League
24.11.25	USFA - AS SONABEL	2:0 ✺
14.11.25	USFA - RDF	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Sporting Cascades - USFA	1:0 ✺
05.11.25	Rail Club du Kadiogo - USFA	0:4 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
26.10.25	Djoliba - USFA	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Burkina Faso Premier League
06.10.24	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - USFA	0:0
25.10.23	USFA - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	0:1
19.03.23	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - USFA	1:1
28.10.22	USFA - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	0:1
27.03.22	USFA - Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou	0:0
22.11.21	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - USFA	0:2
19.09.20	Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - USFA	USFA awarded

Étoile Filante de Ouagadougou - USFA