Match Info

Oberliga Bayern Nord - Round 20

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday


	ATSV Erlangen		Cham

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.95	1.55
	2.71	3.86	2.11	Watch
	2.72	3.95	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.71)	3.92 ↓ (4.2)	1.92 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ATSV Erlangen
27.5%

Draw
23.8%

Cham
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

21.5%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

21.4%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ATSV Erlangen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ATSV Erlangen's form might have worsened.

Cham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ATSV Erlangen than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ATSV Erlangen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cham than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ATSV Erlangen - Cham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 3)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ATSV Erlangen won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Cham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, ATSV Erlangen has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, ATSV Erlangen won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, ATSV Erlangen won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 2.8:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cham	13	11	1	1	30:8	22	34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ATSV Erlangen
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
06.04.26	ATSV Erlangen - Neumarkt	2:3 ✺
10.03.26	Gebenbach - ATSV Erlangen	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Kornburg - ATSV Erlangen	3:1 ✺
27.02.26	ATSV Erlangen - Eltersdorf	1:2 ✺
07.11.25	ATSV Erlangen - Neudrossenfeld	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLLW
- ASV Cham
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
06.04.26	Cham - Ingolstadt II	0:3 ✺
13.03.26	Cham - Eltersdorf	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Cham - Würzburger FV	3:2 ✺
15.11.25	Cham - Bayern Hof	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Jahn Regensburg II - Cham	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
28.03.25	Cham - ATSV Erlangen	1:0
06.09.24	ATSV Erlangen - Cham	1:1
04.05.24	Cham - ATSV Erlangen	2:0
13.10.23	ATSV Erlangen - Cham	3:3
21.04.23	ATSV Erlangen - Cham	2:1
17.09.22	Cham - ATSV Erlangen	2:0
29.10.21	ATSV Erlangen - Cham	5:1

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