Match Info

Karnten - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	ATUS Ferlach		Bleiburg

	1	X	2
	3.25	4.1	1.75
	2.96	4.51	1.82
	5.54	2.55	1.94	Watch
	3.57	4	1.76
	5.33	4.5	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↓ (5.33)	3.93 ↓ (4.5)	1.74 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ATUS Ferlach
22.6%

Draw
23.7%

Bleiburg
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

19.9%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2%

19.1%

65.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ATUS Ferlach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ATUS Ferlach's performance.

Bleiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bleiburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ATUS Ferlach than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ATUS Ferlach that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bleiburg than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bleiburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

ATUS Ferlach - Bleiburg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. ATUS Ferlach (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - ATUS Ferlach (2.10) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - ATUS Ferlach (2.30) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. ATUS Ferlach (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4).

ATUS Ferlach is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Bleiburg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bleiburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bleiburg has had a series of away games.

In this match, Bleiburg is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, ATUS Ferlach won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Including home matches between the teams, ATUS Ferlach won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ATUS Ferlach
Austrian Landesliga Karnten
27.09.25	Donau Klagenfurt - ATUS Ferlach	3:0 ✺
21.09.25	ATUS Ferlach - Köttmannsdorf	0:4 ✺
12.09.25	Dellach Gail - ATUS Ferlach	5:1 ✺
06.09.25	ATUS Ferlach - Völkermarkter	1:0 ✺
29.08.25	Spittal - ATUS Ferlach	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LLLWT
- SVG Bleiburg
Austrian Landesliga Karnten
19.09.25	ATSV Wolfsberg - Bleiburg	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	KAC 1909 - Bleiburg	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Lendorf - Bleiburg	3:0 ✺
29.08.25	Bleiburg - SAK Klagenfurt	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Austria Klagenfurt II - Bleiburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Landesliga Karnten
16.04.25	ATUS Ferlach - Bleiburg	3:0
28.10.23	ATUS Ferlach - Bleiburg	1:0

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