Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 5

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio do CD das Aves (Vila das Aves)

Referee: Correia G. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	AVS		Vilaverdense

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4.2
	1.78	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.82	3.69	4.66
	1.75	3.25	4
	1.79	3.54	4.3
	1.8	3.55	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.67)	3.51 ↑ (3.3)	4.25 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AVS
51.9%

Draw
26.4%

Vilaverdense
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

26.8%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

24.7%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Vilaverdense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AVS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilaverdense than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

AVS - Vilaverdense Predictions

Users Predictions: AVS will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Trigueira P. (G) 98. Ze Ricardo 40. Clayton 41. Correia A. 22. Leo Alaba 47. Lucca J. 8. Bernardo 26. Lopes V. 7. Silva L. (C) 17. John Mercado 18. Nene	1. Goncalves I. (G) 94. Viegas R. 26. Batista J. 33. Gustavo 19. Lopes A. 23. Ericson (C) 20. Semedo Y. 11. Bruno Silva 88. Neves L. 70. Hanne B. 21. Harramiz S.
Substitutes
20. Amorim J. 77. Carlos Daniel 25. Dias R. 10. Dioh I. 12. Farias E. 23. Mendonca G. 9. Sangare B. 93. Simao (G) 3. Thiago Freitas	9. Adjei S. 82. Cajo (G) 27. Freitas C. 8. Joao Caiado 3. Laercio 12. Maviram E. 5. Sako M. 10. Soares A. 7. Teixeira G.
Coaches
Costa J.	Barbosa A.

Preview

AVS is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vilaverdense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match AVS is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's AVS to win the game is with odds 1.8.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AVS Futebol SAD
Portuguese Liga 2
02.09.23	Leiria - AVS	1:2 ✺
27.08.23	AVS - Torreense	0:0 ✺
18.08.23	Marítimo - AVS	0:1 ✺
12.08.23	AVS - Belenenses	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Valladolid - AVS	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WTWWT
- Vilaverdense FC
Portuguese Liga 2
03.09.23	Vilaverdense - Nacional	1:2 ✺
27.08.23	Santa Clara - Vilaverdense	2:0 ✺
20.08.23	Vilaverdense - Oliveirense	1:2 ✺
13.08.23	Académico de Viseu - Vilaverdense	1:1 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
23.07.23	Vilaverdense - Casa Pia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLTL

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