Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 4

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa (Leiria)

Referee: Macedo C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV6


	Leiria		AVS

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	3.2
	2.12	3.2	3.2
	2.37	3.3	3.25
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.24	3.26	3.1
	2.25	3.05	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.05)	3.14 ↑ (3.1)	3.13 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiria
41.2%

Draw
29.4%

AVS
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

29%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

29.4%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

AVS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AVS than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Leiria - AVS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kieszek P. (G) 15. Kaka (C) 2. Ferreira T. 6. Baixinho M. 24. Zie Ouattara 16. Cuca 21. Silva L. 17. Lucho Vega 11. Silva J. 35. Rochez B. 10. van der Gaag J.	88. Trigueira P. (G) 22. Leo Alaba 40. Clayton 41. Correia A. 2. Fonseca F. 25. Dias R. 8. Bernardo 26. Lopes V. 7. Silva L. (C) 17. John Mercado 18. Nene
Substitutes
25. Amado D. 7. Antunes L. 8. Arsenio 29. Ferreira F. (G) 20. Resende J. 30. Ribeiro S. 22. Valdir 19. Valente A.	20. Amorim J. 77. Carlos Daniel 10. Dioh I. 12. Farias E. 47. Lucca J. 23. Mendonca G. 9. Sangare B. 93. Simao (G) 98. Ze Ricardo
Coaches
Costa V.	Costa J.

Preview

Leiria is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

AVS is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Leiria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Leiria will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Leiria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Leiria won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Leiria
Portuguese Liga 2
27.08.23	Porto B - Leiria	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Leiria - Benfica B	3:1 ✺
12.08.23	Paços de Ferreira - Leiria	0:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
30.07.23	Leiria - Nacional	3:4 penalties ✺
24.07.23	Boavista - Leiria	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LWTLW
- AVS Futebol SAD
Portuguese Liga 2
27.08.23	AVS - Torreense	0:0 ✺
18.08.23	Marítimo - AVS	0:1 ✺
12.08.23	AVS - Belenenses	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Valladolid - AVS	3:3 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
28.07.23	AVS - Vizela	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TWWTW

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